{"id":932301,"date":"2025-07-20T14:04:57","date_gmt":"2025-07-20T14:04:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/tip\/%year%\/%monthnum%\/%day%\/st-kilda-saints-vs-melbourne-demons\/"},"modified":"2025-07-25T13:57:40","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T13:57:40","slug":"st-kilda-saints-vs-melbourne-demons","status":"publish","type":"tip","link":"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/fr\/tip\/2025\/07\/27\/st-kilda-saints-vs-melbourne-demons\/","title":{"rendered":"St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Il est temps de revenir sur ce sport unique \u00e0 l’Australie. Pour la 20e journ\u00e9e de l’AFL, le 27 juillet \u00e0 5h20 GMT, au Marvel Stadium, les St Kilda Saints affronteront les Melbourne Demons. La saison ne se passe pas tr\u00e8s bien pour les deux \u00e9quipes et, de mani\u00e8re r\u00e9aliste, elles ne peuvent avoir qu’un seul objectif : la 8e place qui leur permettra de se qualifier pour les \u00e9liminatoires. <\/p>\n\n

Des d\u00e9faites, encore des d\u00e9faites et toujours des d\u00e9faites<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n

C’est la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 de cette ann\u00e9e. 12 d\u00e9faites pour les h\u00f4tes, 11 pour les visiteurs. Seulement 5 et 6 victoires respectivement. -217 et -157 au niveau des diff\u00e9rentiels. Avec ces chiffres, il n’est pas surprenant qu’ils occupent respectivement la 15e et la 13e place du classement. En supposant que les h\u00f4tes l’emportent, ils auront alors le m\u00eame bilan en termes de victoires et de d\u00e9faites et seront \u00e0 \u00e9galit\u00e9 avec Carlton et Essendon, avec 24 points chacun. <\/p>\n\n

L’objectif est d’atteindre Fremantle, actuellement 8e avec 40 points. C’est certes un d\u00e9fi de taille pour les deux \u00e9quipes, mais elles doivent bien commencer quelque part. En apparence, si Melbourne gagne, sa t\u00e2che sera un peu plus facile que celle des autres, surtout si elle parvient \u00e0 obtenir les 4 points et \u00e0 atteindre 28 points. <\/p>\n\n

Les visiteurs ont l’avantage<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n

C’est probablement gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 leur derni\u00e8re victoire contre North Melbourne que Melbourne b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie d’une cote de @1,76. Cependant, l’avantage du terrain semble l\u00e9g\u00e8rement augmenter les chances des h\u00f4tes, d’o\u00f9 la cote de @2,13. Cela se traduit approximativement par une probabilit\u00e9 de victoire de 46 % contre 54 %. Nous ne sommes pas d’accord avec cette \u00e9valuation, \u00e9tant donn\u00e9 que les capacit\u00e9s d\u00e9fensives des Saints sont bien en de\u00e7\u00e0 des exigences de la ligue. <\/p>\n\n

Une confrontation cruciale qui d\u00e9terminera l’issue de ces cotes aura lieu dans quelques jours. Il s’agit du match entre les Demons et les Carlton Blues, l’un de leurs adversaires directs. S’ils parviennent \u00e0 le remporter, ils seront encore plus motiv\u00e9s lorsqu’ils se rendront \u00e0 St Kilda. D’une mani\u00e8re ou d’une autre, les Saints perdront probablement un autre match, car ils affronteront les Geelong Cats, class\u00e9s 4e au classement. <\/p>\n\n

Bien s\u00fbr, lorsque nous reviendrons la semaine prochaine avec la recommandation finale pour notre s\u00e9lection, nous examinerons \u00e0 nouveau tous les d\u00e9tails et, si vous avez respect\u00e9 votre part du march\u00e9 et choisi d’ouvrir un compte sur le meilleur site de paris sportifs, nous respecterons \u00e9galement la n\u00f4tre en vous faisant une suggestion solide.<\/p>\n\n

Mise \u00e0 jour<\/center><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n

Apr\u00e8s les derniers r\u00e9sultats, rien n’a chang\u00e9 dans le classement des deux \u00e9quipes, qui occupent respectivement la 13e et la 15e place du tableau. Elles ont toutes deux ajout\u00e9 une d\u00e9faite \u00e0 leur palmar\u00e8s. Melbourne s’est inclin\u00e9 face aux Carlton Blues 78 \u00e0 70 et St. Kilda face aux Geelong Cats 113 \u00e0 82. Cependant, ce qui a chang\u00e9, c’est l’\u00e9cart avec la 8e place. Celle-ci est d\u00e9sormais occup\u00e9e par Gold Coast avec 44 points, ce qui signifie qu’il sera d’autant plus difficile pour l’un ou l’autre de ces adversaires d’atteindre leurs objectifs. <\/p>\n\n

Ce n’est pas seulement \u00ab tout ou rien \u00bb.
<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n

Si St Kilda ou Melbourne veulent se qualifier pour les \u00e9liminatoires, ils doivent commencer \u00e0 gagner des matchs. Point final. Les h\u00f4tes, ainsi qu’Essendon et West Coast, comptent cinq d\u00e9faites cons\u00e9cutives. Les visiteurs, ainsi que Carlton et North Melbourne, comptent quatre d\u00e9faites et une seule victoire. Cependant, le pire r\u00e9side dans leurs performances assez m\u00e9diocres. Il est douteux que l’un ou l’autre des managers puisse trouver un bon moyen de motiver les joueurs. N\u00e9anmoins, ils doivent en trouver un. Et vite. <\/p>\n\n

\u00c0 l’heure actuelle, les cotes sont de @2,12 pour les Saints et @1,90 pour les Demons. Cela signifie que les visiteurs ont 4 % d’avance en termes de chances de victoire. Cependant, nous miserons sur l’avantage du terrain et sugg\u00e9rons \u00e0 tous ceux qui souhaitent ouvrir un compte sur lemeilleur site de paris sportifs<\/a><\/strong> de prendre le risque de soutenir St. Kilda. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":258,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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