{"id":287649,"date":"2017-10-26T10:09:02","date_gmt":"2017-10-26T10:09:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/tipsters-bet-ibc\/nishikori-picks\/"},"modified":"2023-03-05T12:40:01","modified_gmt":"2023-03-05T12:40:01","slug":"nishikori","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/pt-pt\/tipsters\/nishikori\/","title":{"rendered":"Picks de Nishikori"},"content":{"rendered":" <section   class=\"fw-main-row-custom fw-main-row-top  auto  fw-section-position-back tf-sh-8dbb8b83ba3d26886401c43add8868eb\"    >\n\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-container\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"fw-row\">\n\t<div id=\"column-64048da0229f9\" class=\"fw-col-sm-12 tf-sh-9bd72068786a8815144b0fbdd76071ba\" >\n\t<div class=\"fw-wrap-col-inner clearfix  \"   >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-col-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-team tf-sh-70b6e826dcd53e960758e8b8ad248e22  fw-content-align-center fw-team-member-type-1\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t<div style=\"width: 200px; border-width: 2px;\" class=\"fw-team-image fw-block-image-parent fw-block-image-circle fw-block-image-frame fw_theme_border_only_color_3\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-block-image-child fw-ratio-1 fw-ratio-container\"><img decoding=\"async\" itemprop=\"image\" src=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Avatar-Nishkori.png\"  alt=\"Avatar Nishkori\" data-maxdpr=\"1.7\" width=\"200\" \/><meta itemprop=\"url\" content=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/Avatar-Nishkori.png\"><meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"377\"><meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"373\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t\t<div class=\"fw-team-inner\" style=\"\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-team-name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3>Nishikori<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span>Ol\u00e1, chamo-me Nishikori<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-team-text\"><h5>Sou um <b>Tipster Profissional de ATP T\u00e9nis<\/b> no mercado de apostas <a href=\"https:\/\/pyckio.com\/i\/#!account\/nishikori\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pyckio.com<\/a> .<\/h5><\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-team-socials clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/nishikoripicks\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i style=\" font-size: 40px; color:#58d0f8;\" class=\"fa fa-twitter \"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"fw-divider-space  fw-custom-space  clearfix\" style=\"height:20px;\" ><\/div><div class=\"text-center\">\t<a href=\"https:\/\/pyckio.com\/i\/#!account\/nishikori\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"fw-btn tf-sh-e3328cc6048253cae85a55a10d4525e4  fw-btn-md   anchor fw-btn-2\" style=\"\" rel=\"noopener\">\n\t\t<span >\n\t\t\tFALE COMIGO\t\t<\/span>\n\t<\/a>\n<\/div><div class=\"fw-divider-space  fw-custom-space  clearfix\" style=\"height:20px;\" ><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"fw-row\">\n\t<div id=\"column-64048da02369f\" class=\"fw-col-sm-12 tf-sh-c5531b79514ca9b0191b1a178d8760b8\" >\n\t<div class=\"fw-wrap-col-inner clearfix  \"   >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-col-inner\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-divider-space space-sm  clearfix\"  ><\/div><div class=\"tf-sh-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c fw-tabs fw-tabs-framed fw-tabs-top \" >\n\t<ul class=\"nav nav-tabs nav-justified\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"active\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-1\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span>Sobre<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li >\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-2\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span>Casas de apostas favoritas<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li >\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-3\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span>Ligas e tipos de desportos<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li >\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-4\" data-toggle=\"tab\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span>Stakes &#038; frequ\u00eancia de previs\u00f5es<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\n\t<div class=\"tab-content clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-1\"\n\t\t\t     class=\"tab-pane fade in active\">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Soy un <strong>Tipster profesional de Tenis ATP <\/strong> y puedes encontrar la mayor\u00eda de mis predicciones en Pyckio.com. Algunas de ellas son gratis mientras que puedes comprar otras al precio por restricci\u00f3n de tiempo proporcionado por Pyckio. <strong>solo predigo sobre ATP<\/strong>. No competidores, no ITF, no futuros.<\/p><p>ATP es el mercado de tenis m\u00e1s fluido y mi objetivo es obtener un <strong>10% a largo plazo de ROI<\/strong> con mis picks de tenis. Hasta ahora estoy orgulloso de decir que mi sistema funciona y alcanza el objetivo.<\/p><p>Desde que estoy <strong>ligado al mundo del tenis profesionalmente <\/strong> ser\u00eda inapropiado para mi ambiente de trabajo saber mi cara de tipster, incluso si no tengo acceso a cualquier tipo de informaci\u00f3n interna. Es por esta raz\u00f3n que mantengo mi decision de preserver mi aonimato y no dar m\u00e1s detalles de m\u00ed mismo.<\/p><p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-283848 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/atp-tennis-live-2.jpg\" alt=\"tennispic\" width=\"510\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/atp-tennis-live-2.jpg 510w, https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/atp-tennis-live-2-300x147.jpg 300w, https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/atp-tennis-live-2-24x12.jpg 24w, https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/atp-tennis-live-2-36x18.jpg 36w, https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/atp-tennis-live-2-48x24.jpg 48w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 510px) 100vw, 510px\" \/><\/p><p>Si bien mi v\u00ednculo con el mundo del tenis data de mi infancia, no comenc\u00e9 a apostar hasta el 2005\/2006 y sintonic\u00e9 el profesional en 2013. Me gustan todo tipo de estad\u00edsticas y n\u00fameros relacionados con el tenis (como economista) y fue solo es cuesti\u00f3n de tiempo antes de involucrarme con las apuestas sobre el tenis. Como es el caso m\u00e1s com\u00fan, tuve mis altibajos al principio y el saldo al final del a\u00f1o demostr\u00f3 que perd\u00ed. Tom\u00f3 tiempo y acumulaci\u00f3n de experiencia convertir mis p\u00e9rdidas en ganancias y formular mi sistema que produce los picks que compartir\u00e9 contigo <strong>aqu\u00ed en BET-IBC dos veces por semana<\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-2\"\n\t\t\t     class=\"tab-pane fade \">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Como mencionado anteriormente, procuro grande liquidez. <a href=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/pt-pt\/registo-na-sportsbook\/\"><strong>sportsbook<\/strong><\/a> est\u00e1 a oferecer a liquidez que procuro. Al\u00e9m do mais, eles oferecem as odds mais eficientes, especialmente as que est\u00e3o a fechar, que eu uso com frequ\u00eancia para colocar as minhas apostas.<\/p><p><strong>A m\u00e9dia de odds com que trabalho s\u00e3o por volta de 2.60.<\/strong><br \/>Estou mais confort\u00e1vel com este tipo de apostas e penso que \u00e9 aqui que posso ser de maior valor. Fazer odds altas significa que o apostador que me segue tem de estar pronto a passar por alturas dif\u00edceis algumas vezes. A probabilidade de perder v\u00e1rias apostas consecutivas \u00e9 alta quando aposta no jogador mais fraco. Contudo, as recompensas pode ser altas aqueles que seguem uma estrat\u00e9gia de gest\u00e3o conservativa de stakes e n\u00e3o se preocuparem muito com os resultados di\u00e1rios.<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/vip-bet-ibc-logo-transparent.png\" alt=\"vip-ibc\" width=\"500\" height=\"150\" \/><br \/>O meio perfeito para esta estrat\u00e9gia \u00e9 a <a href=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/pt-pt\/registo-na-vip-ibc\/\"><strong>Platform VIP<\/strong><\/a> que a <strong>BET-IBC<\/strong> disponibiliza. Descobri a plataforma a alguns meses atr\u00e1s e estou muito contente. <strong>VIP<\/strong> torna as minhas apostas pessoais mais f\u00e1ceis! Tenho as maiores casas de apostas como a <strong>sportsbook<\/strong> e a <strong>Maxbet<\/strong> no mesmo ecr\u00e3, e tenho uma grande probabilidade de encontrar as melhores odds dispon\u00edveis no mercado em que quero apostar. Tamb\u00e9m verifico as odds para as minhas tips de t\u00e9nis para dar \u00e0 minha comunidade a melhor op\u00e7\u00e3o. VIP ainda n\u00e3o me deixou ficar mal!<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-3\"\n\t\t\t     class=\"tab-pane fade \">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Fa\u00e7o tips em <strong>T\u00e9nis ATP exclusivamente<\/strong>. N\u00e3o fa\u00e7o Challengers, ITFs, ou torneios Futures, apenas jogos ATP. Isto garante que normalmente a liquidez \u00e9 alta o suficiente para os meus seguidores colocarem as suas apostas a odds razo\u00e1veis. Alcan\u00e7ar um ROI de cerca de 10% ROI em quase 2,000 apostas apenas em ATP, n\u00e3o \u00e9 f\u00e1cil e espero conseguir manter a longo prazo. Aqui pode verificar uma tabela do que quero mostrar:<\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/type-of-sports-tips.png\" alt=\"tipo de desportos\" width=\"700\" height=\"150\" \/><\/p><p>Fazer tips no WTA requer muito trabalho da minha parte. Iria precisar de estar constantemente e completamente atualizado com todos os jogadores da WTA, todas as noticias dos torneios e eu simplesmente n\u00e3o tenho o tempo para seguir o t\u00e9nis feminino devidamente. Tenho quase a certeza que as minhas previs\u00f5es n\u00e3o seriam t\u00e3o positivos na WTA e isso iria afetar os meus n\u00fameros do ATP. Eu tenho uma vantagem no mercado ATP e n\u00e3o gostaria de a p\u00f4r em risco.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"tab-cont-2b353e27b0f4fa9168b9173ecee3b28c-4\"\n\t\t\t     class=\"tab-pane fade \">\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Vou submeter <strong>2 picks por semana aqui na BET-IBC.<\/strong> Podem encontrar as minhas restantes picks (pagas) em Pyckio.com.<\/p><p>Apesar de nas minhas apostas pessoais reais usar um m\u00e9todo de lucros fixo (a stake depende das odds), fa\u00e7o tip de <strong>1 unidade fixa de stakes<\/strong> por uma raz\u00e3o de simplicidade. Sugiro que considerem as odds quando colocarem o vosso dinheiro em apostas. Normalmente fa\u00e7o mais tips nas primeiras rondas e n\u00e3o nas ultimas. Tenho duas raz\u00f5es para isto. Primeiro o mercado \u00e9 menos eficiente durante as rondas iniciais e \u00e9 mais f\u00e1cil encontrar odds de real valor. Segundo h\u00e1 mais jogos por onde escolher.<\/p><p><strong><u>Como trabalho?<\/u><\/strong><br \/>Trabalho da maneira que a maioria dos apostadores e tipsters o fazem, analizo a forma dos jogadores, a forma \u201cmental\u201d ou confian\u00e7a, estilos <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/bet-ibc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/tennis-ball.jpg\" alt=\"tennis atp\" width=\"322\" height=\"214\" \/>de jogo, noticias sobre les\u00f5es, motiva\u00e7\u00e3o, superf\u00edcie dos torneios, estat\u00edsticas, etc. Enquanto o processo pode n\u00e3o parecer diferente, <strong>o que separa os melhores tispters dos restantes \u00e9 a habilidade de colocar um pre\u00e7o na informa\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/strong> Penso que consigo ser muito bom em determinar o valor em que uma informa\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 incorporada nas odds. Por vezes o mercado pode dar uma import\u00e2ncia excessiva a uma informa\u00e7\u00e3o, tal como les\u00f5es dos jogadores, cansa\u00e7o ou motiva\u00e7\u00e3o. Em outras vezes s\u00e3o os apostadores que d\u00e3o um valor excessivo aos jogadores pela sua fama, e n\u00e3o tem em conta que podem estar muito em baixo de forma.<\/p><p>No geral, quando uma opini\u00e3o\/informa\u00e7\u00e3o em qualquer jogo\/jogador de t\u00e9nis particular \u00e9 extensivamente espalhada entre os apostadores, o valor tende a ir no sentido oposto. E aqui tenho de de tentar tirar vantagem de pre\u00e7os ineficientes. O meu trabalho n\u00e3o \u00e9 encontrar vencedores, este \u00e9 o caminho para a ru\u00edna. O meu trabalho \u00e9 encontrar valor, encontrar odds ineficientes.<\/p><p>Gosto de me focar no processo, n\u00e3o nos resultados. Se estiver convencido que h\u00e1 valor em uma aposta em particular, eu submeto uma pick. N\u00e3o me preocupo muito com os resultados a curto prazo. \u00c9 o longo prazo que interessa. Quando as odds de fecho da minha pick s\u00e3o mais baixas que a minha significa que estava correto. E nesta altura fico satisfeito e n\u00e3o me faz diferen\u00e7a se perdi a aposta ou n\u00e3o.<\/p><p>As odds de fecho de sportsbook s\u00e3o as mais eficientes, se as alcan\u00e7ar constantemente est\u00e1 realmente a dar valor e h\u00e1 uma expetativa matem\u00e1tica positiva nas suas sele\u00e7\u00f5es.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\t<\/section><section   class=\"fw-main-row  auto  fw-section-position-back\"    >\n\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-container\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"fw-row\">\n\t<div id=\"column-64048da023fd6\" class=\"fw-col-sm-12 tf-sh-4025e7b9e187efa748bb61d2a623e12c\" >\n\t<div class=\"fw-wrap-col-inner clearfix  \"   >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-col-inner\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-divider-space  fw-custom-space  clearfix\" style=\"height:10px;\" ><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n<div class=\"fw-row\">\n\t<div id=\"column-64048da0242bf\" class=\"fw-col-sm-12 tf-sh-4025e7b9e187efa748bb61d2a623e12c\" >\n\t<div class=\"fw-wrap-col-inner clearfix  \"   >\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-col-inner\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"fw-divider-space  fw-custom-space  clearfix\" style=\"height:20px;\" ><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\t<\/div>\n\t<\/section>\n<style name='fw-theme-style-inline'>@media only screen and (max-width: 767px) { .tf-sh-9bd72068786a8815144b0fbdd76071ba .fw-col-inner{padding-top:0px;padding-right:0px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:0px;} }\n.tf-sh-70b6e826dcd53e960758e8b8ad248e22 .fw-team-text {font-family: 'Quattrocento Sans';font-style: normal;font-weight:400;line-height:28px;font-size:16.5px;letter-spacing:0px;color:#c50606;}\n.tf-sh-e3328cc6048253cae85a55a10d4525e4{ border-width: 2px; 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