AZ can ensure a place among the top 32 in this round and their current form is perfect to achieve this goal, while Partizan need a miracle to win their last two matches and hope for favourable result in the other match of the Group L.
AZ are having a great Europa League so far. After 4 matches, they have 8 points from 2 victories and 2 draws. Both victories came against FC Astana, by 6-0 and 0-5 which boosted their goal average. The first draw was a 2-2 against Partizan, which was achieved with a big handicap after the team lost Svensson at the 27th minute due to a red card. Partizan took the advantage in the 61st minute, but AZ reacted quickly enough and drew the actions 5 minutes later to save a crucial point in the first round of the Group L. Finally, the second draw was nothing less than against the big ManUd.
In the league, AZ Alkmaar is also doing a great job and they are currently second with only a couple losses after 14 rounds. This shows that they are capable of taking care of two championships at the same time without losing quality. What is more, AZ have won their last 6 matches in all competitions with a clean sheet while scoring a total of 24 goals.
Partizan is third in the group and would need a victory here and then another against a weak Astana, but they will also need a specific result to jump to the second place, which is a hard combination to get. Still, they will probably try their chances in this game. Apart from the draw with AZ, the Serbians won against Astana (their only victory so far) and lost both games against Manchester United. They are also doing a good job in their local league, but this international competition seems too big for them, at least for now.
There is motivation on both sides, but the visitors will have more pressure as they need a victory to keep their small hopes alive, while the locals can obtain the next stage ticket with just a draw. Also, AZ will play at home and surely want to continue their good moment with a lot of goals scored and, of course, another clean sheet. My bet will be AZ Alkmaar -0.75 on VIP-IBC and you can place one too if you join the best betting software for multiple bookmakers!