Newcastle United – Sheffield United

Prediction: 1594
Tipster: KanBeBettor
Stake: 3/10
Odds: 2.04
Start GMT: 2020-06-21 13:00:00
League: England - Premier League
Category: Football Prediction
Bookmaker: VIP-IBC
Added date: 2020-06-20
Betting prediction:
Sheffield Utd -0.25 AH

EPL is finally back! Games are more uncertain due to the extended break and behind-closed-door environment, still I find value in Sheffield United due to below reasons.

First, Newcastle is fairly safe from relegation as they are likely to be conservative. In comparison, Sheffield need points to push for Europa spot, which should probably be perceived as a historical achievement to the club. The determination of Sheffield is very likely stronger than Newcastle.

Second, in expected goals (xG) terms, Newcastle had been way overachieved this season, as they should be among the worst in the league. It could be partly thanks to their counter-attacking approach, but likely more luck was involved there. Many pundits had criticized their gameplay especially offensively. Similarly, Sheffield had also sort of over-achieved according to their around-breakeven xG, but to a less extent.

Third, Sheffield had returned to the real game a few days ago. In this kind of “season start” situation, the gain in match fitness from a competitive game definitely outweighs the fatigue brought by it. In this aspect, Sheffield is having a significant advantage.

For team news, Newcastle have central midfielder Longstaff out, while no significant injuries or suspensions for Sheffield. Overall, it is valuable to back Sheffield Utd -0.25@2.04, with almost every factor in favor of Sheffield. So what are you waiting for? Register for the best betting software now and enjoy the best odds and limits in the market!