Roger Federer - Borna Coric
Betting Prediction: Roger Federer -4.5 games handicap
Coric is probably playing his best tennis yet, we all know he is capable of playing great matches but this time he managed to keep his focus after big win and show consistency.
He survived the mental test of a hard hitting home player in Fritz and beat Anderson in a great display and South American was a real mismatch for him in the past as Coric wasn’t able the break his serve in previous 3 matches they played.
Even with all good Coric has shown last few weeks I don’t think he is ready to tackle Federer. Coric was very open about having some problems in these windy conditions at Indian Wells due to his lack of power in shots and on serve.
Big problem is that Federer is great in this tricky conditions and he puts incredible amount of
pressure on opponent just with his serving. I think Coric won’t be able to do damage on return and as time goes he will have to go for too much and he will eventually get exposed on his own serve.
Lines are really sharp here so there is no margin for mistake. One thing that could be really helpful is that Federer will very likely have the honours of serving first and 6-3 would be huge for this bet.
Swiss won every match here with at least 4 spread, but players who did cover were Del Bonis and Chardy who had a lot of help with their top spin serving and were able to get some free points here and there.
Krajinovic and Chung for example (although arguably better then Del Bonis and Chardy) didn’t have that luxury and both were trashed as it’s not easy to go through every service game playing long rallies and hitting winners.
Federer knows that he shouldn’t let off for a single moment here as Coric has a great record and usually shows up against top players.
My ideal line would be -4.0 but I still think this one is playable and Coric even in this form will probably snap out under pressure and Federer is tough matchup for everyone in this conditions. I will bet with Pinbet88 on this match as here the highest odds are available once again.
They had one previous match two years ago in Dubai and Coric wasn’t competitive losing 6-2 6-1 and unable to cope with Federer ultra-aggressive tennis and top notch serving.
Dundalk - Waterford
Betting Prediction: Waterford +1 Asian Handicap
Today's tip looks at the League of Ireland Premier Division where 2 of the top 3 teams are playing each other. Dundalk in 3rd place are hosting 2nd placed Waterford.
Whilst Dundalk deserve to have the favourite's tag for this match, their odds are far too short considering the standard of the opposition.
Waterford have won 4 out of their 5 games so far this season including the past 3. They have a great defence, only conceding a total of 4 goals from these games and I don't expect Dundalk will be scoring a hatful against their tight ship. They also have a fully fit squad from which to choose from.
Dundalk have also made a decent start to the season and although their stats look great at first glance with 9 goals from their games, at closer look you will note that 8 of them game in the one game against the woeful Limerick! Other than that they have only managed 1 goal and so their striker troubles are going to play into the hands of Waterford's strong defence.
Truth be told a win for Dundalk is the most likely result, but by covering the +1 handicap you are allowing for the most likely outcome (a win by 1 goal) whilst leaving open the second most likely outcome (a draw). The value is definitely with Waterford for this.
The best odds are at Pinbet88 via the best asian agent which is where I will be betting!
CD Lugo - Alcorcón
Betting prediction: CD Lugo to win
Match in Spain of the Second Division to be played on March 17 at 17:00 UTC in the Anxo Carro Stadium and that they will play CD Lugo - Alcorcón
The local team is the eleventh ranked with 44 points in a total of 30 games played (13 won, 5 draw and 12 losses) and with a score of 32 goals in favor and 34 against. If we see their numbers as home they have in 14 games the team won 8, tied 2 and lost 4 with 18 goals in favor and 11 against.
The away team is the eighteenth in the standings with 35 points in 30 games (8 wins, 11 draws and 11 losses) and with a score of 25 goals in favor and 36 against. If we see their numbers as visitors they have in 15 games the team won 4 tied 3 and lost 8 with 12 goals in favor and 26 against.
In the last 5 home matches CD Lugo lost 2, drew 1 and won 2. On the other hand, Alcorcón, in their last 5 away matches won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Interesting match in the Spanish second division. CD Lugo has a golden opportunity to reach the playoff positions for the first division, it must change the negative dynamics that it brings in general lines that have made it lose those positions and it has an excellent moment against Alcorcón that suffers a lot when plays as away and it is on the edge of the abyss of the relegation places to the Second Division B. The push of the local team to seek a victory that makes you continue fighting for the rise can unbalance the match.
The most trusted bookmaker gives me the chance to bet with the highest odds for CD Lugo to win.
Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets
Betting prediction: Wellington Phoenix to win
Match in Australia of the A-League to be played on March 17 at 06:35 UTC at the Westpac Stadium and will play Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets
The local team is the tenth ranked with 17 points in a total of 22 games played (4 won, 5 draw and 13 losses) and with a score of 25 goals in favor and 46 against. If we see their numbers as home they have that in 10 games the team won 3, tied 3 and lost 4 with 18 goals in favour and 21 against.
The away team is second in the standings with 44 points in 22 games (13 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses) and with a score of 46 goals in front and 25 against. If we see their numbers as a visitor they have that in 10 games the team won 5 tied 3 and lost 2 with 20 goals in favor and 14 against.
In the last 5 home matches Wellington Phoenix has lost 2, drawn 1 and won 2. On the other hand Newcastle Jets, in their last 5 away matches won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.
However I will place my bet for Wellington Phoenix to win, and will do it at the best Asian sportsbook .
Match between the last classified and the second classified. Little more needs to be said regarding the overall quality of both teams. However, the situation of Wellington Phoenix is the one that makes the difference here, is just one victory to leave the last place and the dynamics as a local team is not as bad as when playing away team. On the other hand, Newcastle Jets, Do not have much to fight, because there is no danger of reaching the third classified and is relatively far from the first position, relaxation of the away team can be a key factor in this game.
Feliciano Lopez - Sam Querrey
Betting Prediction: Feliciano Lopez (+1.5 sets) handicap
From where I’m standing there is great value in this odds on Lopez.
Querrey managed to survive stern test from Yuki Bhambri making a comeback from set down and my feeling is American can be vulnerable at Indian Wells.
In his 12 appearances here he never went past semi-finals and never string more than three wins and I wouldn’t say he fancy this conditions a lot.
Feliciano Lopez pass the test for me beating Sock last night, he can go against big servers and surely he can make this one super tight.
There is number of good choices here besides this one and i personally recommend Lopez to win and over 22,5 games.
I’m expecting tough resistance from Feliciano and some kind of revenge game vs Querrey who beat him 3-0 at Australian open, and least he can do is land one set.
I will place my bet with Pinbet88 with the best Agent and I recommend you to do the same.
Kei Nishikori - Leonardo Mayer
Betting Prediction: Total games-over 21.0
This will be 10th time Nishikori is playing Indian Wells and he was not particularly successful at this event, never going past quarter finals.
Nishikori has often struggled to translate momentum into a deep run at Indian Wells and he was quite honest about it in his interviews year ago:
“I [have] never done very well here,” he said. “I need to raise my level a little bit.”
Problem this year is that he isn’t coming here in strong rhythm, having to recover from that right wrist injury and we have rare occasion to watch him play some challenger events two months ago.
Ball tend to bounce higher here which is not a best match for a short player like Kei and his last loss in Acapulco was to kind of similar player like Mayer, Shapovalov who also has lot of power in his shots and plays one handed backhand.
Nishikori was usually doing this early matches with routine at Indian Wells but this year it might get tough if Mayer shows up with his powerful game.
I’m going with overs here and hoping Mayer can show solid resistance.
Benoit Paire - Mitchell Krueger
Betting Prediction: Mitchell Krueger to win
Two weeks ago Paire had to skip ATP Marseille due to back problems and in his own words:
“I couldn’t even walk after Montpellier and if it was not for the painkilling injection, I doubt I would be on court today,”
Indeed in Dubai it felt like those issues are still there,he did beat also half fit Nishioka and then fell to Coric 1-6 4-6.
To quote few more things:
"France's Benoit Paire is doubtful for Masters 1000 events in Indian Wells and Miami. The 28-year-old lost to Croatian Borna Coric 6-1 6-4
in the Dubai last-16 on Wednesday. Paire was then due to play a doubles match alongside Karen Khachanov later that day Paire and Khachanov
never clashed against James Cerretani and Leander Paes as the Frenchman couldn't play.
"I'll take my time and see if I can play Indian Wells and Miami," Paire said. Paire was forced to withdraw from last week's ATP Marseille.
The world No. 46 pulled out due to a back injury. The Frenchman also didn't play at Rotterdam the week before Marseille."
Im not saying Paire will come injured here,but Krueger seems like he is found some rythm and what i really like
is that Krueger stunned frenchmen 6-2 6-1 at Cincinnatti masters.
Kruger had few solid matches at Indian Wells challenger last week,and he played qualifications here so we can
say he had decent preparation for this match.
Im willing to give him a shot as an underdog and i woudnt be surprised if Paire lose this one,if he is unfit
or just having a bad day...
FC Sion - FC Thun
Betting prediction: FC Sion to win
Super League match in Switzerland to be played on March 11 at 15:00 UTC at the Tourbillon stadium and played by FC Sion - FC Thun
The local team is the tenth ranked with 21 points in a total of 24 games played (5 won, 6 draw and 13 losses) and with a score of 28 goals in favor and 42 against. If we see their numbers as home they have that in 12 games the team won 2, tied 6 and lost 4 with 16 goals in favor and 16 against.
The away team is ninth in the standings with 24 points in 24 games (7 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses) and with a goalscorer score of 37 goals in favor and 46 against. If we see their numbers as a visitor they have that in 12 games the team won 4 tied 1 and lost 7 with 21 goals in favor and 25 against.
In the last 5 home matches FC Sion has lost 2, drawn 1 and won 2. On the other hand FC Thun, in their last 5 away matches won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Match between the last two classifieds of the Swiss Super League. FC Sion is presenting a clear improvement in the last matches and it is a rocky team in their stadium, their situation as the last classified is mainly due to their bad performances as away. For its part FC Thun has lost the last 4 league games and comes in a horrible state. The need for FC Sion to stop being the last classified and the low morale of FC Thun are more than enough reasons to go with the local team.
Chester - Dover
Betting Prediction: Dover to win
The odds for a Dover win have already been coming in over the last 24 hours, having started at about 2.5 and they are starting to look a bit more realistic, although I feel that a starting price might be closer to 2.25.
Chester are languishing in the relegation zone and are in terrible form having lost 4 of their past 5 games, their only win coming at home to Eastleigh, who are in the middle of a bad patch themselves. Dover on the other hand are very much in with a chance of promotion, and will see this game as a great chance to cement a place in the top 7.
Chester's main issue all season is their inability to score...which is unfortunately not going to be helped when matched against the second best defence in the league! Their attach is simply going to be negated, and in order to win the game they are going to need to score more than their 1 average, which isn't going to happen. I think that either the draw or the away win is where the value lies, and if pushed to pick a score then it would be either a 2-1 or a 3-1 away victory.
The north-west of the country hasn't been hit as badly as the the rest of England with the snow, and so I wouldn't expect that to have a major impact on the score (poor conditions usually leads to fewer goals).
Best odds at the moment are at Pinbet88 which is where I will be betting!
SV Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue
Betting prediction: SV Sandhausen to win
Bundesliga 2 match in Germany to be played on March 3 at 12:00 UTC at the Hardtwaldstadion and to play SV Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue
The local team is the sixth classified with 35 points in a total of 24 games played (10 won, 5 draw and 9 losses) and with a score of 27 goals in favor and 21 against. If we see their numbers as home they have that in 12 games the team won 7, tied 2 and lost 3, with 15 goals in favor and 8 against.
The visiting team is fourteenth in the standings with 28 points in 24 games (7 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses) and with a score of 25 goals in favor and 37 against. If we see their numbers as a visitor, they have to win in 11 games, 2 drew 3 and lost 6 with 12 goals in favor and 22 against.
In the last 5 home matches SV Sandhausen has won 1 losses, has won 3 and has tied 1 matches. On the other hand, Erzgebirge Aue, in their last 5 away matches has had 1 draws, 0 wins and 4 losses.
Match where I do not understand the odds, the truth. SV Sandhausen is a tremendously superior team, as shown by the classification. It is also a particularly strong team when playing at home and in this game has a golden opportunity to reach a place in playoffs of promotion to Bundesliga. For its part the Erzgebirge is in a very complicated situation and have only been able to win the last classified in recent games. Match where the local team should have a quota of 1.50-1.60
Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United
Betting prediction: Brisbane Roar to win
Match in Australia of the A-League to be played on March 3 at 08:50 UTC at Suncorp Stadium and played by Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United
The home team is seventh with 22 points in a total of 21 games played (6 won, 4 draw and 11 losses) and with a score of 24 goals in favor and 32 against. If we see their numbers as home they have in 12 games the team won 5, tied 2 and lost 4, with 13 goals in favor and 16 against.
The visiting team is fifth in the standings with 29 points in 12 games (8 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses) and with a goalscorer balance of 24 goals in favor and 28 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have in 10 games he has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4, with 12 goals in favor and 19 against.
In the last 5 home matches Brisbane Roar has won 4 losses, has won 1 and has tied 0 matches. On the other hand, Adelaide United, in their last 5 away matches has had 1 draws, 2 won and 2 losses.
Matched match in which they have common objectives, the fight for a place in play-offs. Brisbane Roar must win against a direct rival and cut points as soon as possible. Bad form at home should not deceive us, they should face the first classified. In addition, we must take into account the H2H of December 2017 where Brisbane won at Adelaide United's home by 1-2. I think, this is an excellent opportunity for Brisbane to raid the playoffs.
Zeballos - Monfils
Betting prediction: Zeballos to win
This is a replay of the match both players had one week ago in Rio de Janeiro. In that match Monfils won in 3 close sets after the Argentinean wasted a 5-2 lead in the decider and Monfils saved one match point. Let's also take into account that Monfils is not in his best form. He has chosen to play the South American clay season to get ready for the European clay tournaments.
"I thought about coming to play the South American tour (Quito, Buenos Aires, Rio and Sao Paulo), playing these tournaments on clay, winning some match and getting stronger for the European tournaments on the the same surface."
This is his 4th consecutive week after making 2 quarterfinals and one semifinal and I really have my doubts about his implication in this tournament. His tennis is far from his best level and he is struggling physically, so I don't have clear that he will give his best during this week. Zeballos is a very tough rival, as Monfils could see one week ago.
The Argentinean is on of those players that ,when playing his best tennis, can beat any rival. Zeballos has also played one match on this surface, what can be an advantage. Sao Paulo is played on an indoor clay court in altitude (760 m) and it's specially important to get used to the court conditions. In these circumstamces I think any odds over 3.0 for Zeballos to beat the Frenchman is a great price.
Jordan Thompson - Stephane Robert
Betting prediction: Stephane Robert to win
Thompson played lot of tennis lately and in my opinion fatigue may catch up to him sooner or later. He won title in Chennai, and then reached finals in Kyoto playing 10 matches in total.
Here in Yokohama, he needed three sets vs Gunneraswan in first round and then it was a bit more difficult then expected vs Hiroyasu Ehara.
Stephane Robert will turn 38 years in may but he is still very tricky opponent to deal with on these challenger events. He is on very decent record in 2018,13 wins/5 losses and his high risk game and unpredictable shot making abilities are still making him very tough opponent to deal with.
Like I said Thompson probably played too many matches lately and he lost his service game 6 times in his last two, so I'm more then willing to give Robert a shot here to take him down.
Maria Sakkari - Stefanie Voegele
Betting Prediction: Sakkari -2 Games Handicap
There has already been some earlier interest on this match with odds on a Voegele victory starting to drift out from their opening price.
Sakkari is ranked 59 in the world and has had an indifferent start to the season, which she is now starting to turn around with 2 victories in her previous tournament before going down against Sam Stosur, which is no disgrace.
Voegele is ranked way outside of the top 100 at number 183 and plays most of her tennis these days in the lower tiers. Whilst she has had some victories this season, these have been against players similarly ranked and the last time she beat a player in the top 60 was back in October, her only top 60 victory since April 2016. Simply put, she is not a main tour standard player and her results back that up.
Sakkari's slightly poor form have made the odds closer than they really should be, in terms of pure ability she should be under 1.50 for the victory in this match as opposed to the 1.72 which can be found. I think the recent turnaround in form has made this now a gift of a price.
I fully expect Sakkari to win in straight sets, hence the reason I am tipping the handicap as opposed to the straight win.
Best odds are at Pinbet88 which is where I will be betting! I wouldn't be surprised to see the price drop before the match starts.
Sporting Lisbon - FC Astana
Betting Prediction: Sporting -1.5
This is the return leg of the first knock out stage of the Europa League, Sporting having won the 1st leg 3-1 in Astana.
The 1st leg between these 2 sides was a walk in the park for Sporting who, despite being the away side, had 64% possession and had more shots on goal. Astana did go down to 10 men but this had no bearing on the result as Sporting were 3-1 ahead at that point. This red card is going to have a bearing on today's game however, as Astana are a weaker team in the absence of Logvinenko.
Sporting have been in great form this season, and although they take a decent lead with them for this match, 2 goals can be turned around so I wouldn't expect too many players to be rested. They have yet to lose at home in the league, winning 10 and drawing 2 of their 12 games, scoring almost 3 goals per game so scoring is unlikely to be an issue.
Astana has a fairly decent away record having scored in each of their away games in the group stage. I wouldn't be surprised to see them sneak a goal, but their problems will come at the other end, as mentioned Sporting's attack is prolific and they failed to deal with it adequately at home.
If I had to pick a score for this it would be 3-1, but there could be more goals if Sporting score early and the Kazahkstan team give up.
Best odds for the -1.5 asian handicap are at SBObet which is where I will be betting!
BW Linz - FC Liefering
Betting prediction: BW Linz to win
The visiting team is fourth in the standings with 35 points in 20 games (10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses) and with a goalscorer score of 39 goals in favor and 27 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have that in 10 games he has won 4, tied 2 and lost 4, with 12 goals in favor and 19 against.
In the last 5 home matches BW Linz has won 4 losses, has won 0 and tied 1 match. On the other hand, FC Liefering, in their last 5 away matches has had 1 draws, 2 won and 2 losses.
Unequal game, it is obvious, is the last one against the fourth. But let's not forget that BW Linz is only 5 points behind salvation and they will fight to the death to win this game, against a FC Liefering who is clearly superior, but who usually lose a bit of their performance away from home. Basically we enter in favor of BW Linz because I consider that the odds are disproportionate, in my opinion it should be at 3.50 or 3.25.
Tours - US Orléans
Betting prediction: Tours to win
Match in France of Ligue 2 that will be played on February 23 at 20:00 UTC at the Stade de la Vallée-du-Cher and will face Tours and US Orléans
The local team is the last classified with 10 points in a total of 26 games played (2 won, 4 draw and 20 losses) and with a score of 16 goals in favor and 49 against. If we see his numbers as home we have that in 13 games he has won 2, 1 draws and has lost 10 with 10 goals in favor and 25 against.
The away team is the twelfth in the standings with 34 points in 26 matches (9 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses) and with a goalscorer balance of 35 goals in favor and 38 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have that in 12 games he has won 4, tied 3 and lost 5, with 11 goals in favor and 17 against.
In the last 5 home matches Tours has won 3 losses, has won 1 and has tied 1 match. On the other hand, Nantes have won 2 draws, 2 won and 1 lost in the last 5 away matches.
Last chance for the Tours, it has very very difficult salvation, but all your options go through winning this match, they are trying to recover good feelings, in fact, the last game away from home against Nimes (4th place) tied 2-2 . For its part, the US Orléans is in the middle of the table without danger to descend and with the options quite distant from the European positions. I think the need to win the Tours and the relaxation of the US Orléans will be key in this game.
Gastao Elias - Pablo Cuevas
Betting prediction: Gastao Elias over 11.5 games
Cuevas needed almost 3 hours last night to get here and it was mostly on Thiago Monteiro inability to wrap up the match. Monteiro had 5-3 lead in tie break along with three match points when Cuevas look more or less done. He had early break in third set as well but managed to blow it all and eventually lose 7-6 6-7 3-6 being the better player almost entire match.
Cuevas is still trying to find his rhythm and he did look a bit rusty out there so I’m trying to figure out how is he again 1.45 short.
Elias is playing really good tennis lately, had a tough loss against Del Bonis in Buenos Aires (7-6 7-6) and lost here to Moutet in qualifications (2-6 7-6 4-6) but then he beat Pella as a lucky loser which is a great win I can’t overlook.
These two players have three previous matches with Elias winning one of those, and managed to take a set on two occasions showing he can be very competitive even against Cuevas in better rhythm then he is at this moment. Cuevas can surely be stunned here as he lost in 2017 in Rio to De Greef who exposed him playing really short points and aggressive tennis.
I’m not sure that Elias will be able to finish off Cuevas but i surely expect great resistance which should make this total very nice bet. Cuevas does look vulnerable at this moment and we will see if he feels some fatigue after long match last night.
Haider-Maurer - Bedene
Betting prediction: Haider-Maurer
I don't understand how the market set these crazy odds when an out of the Top 10-20 player goes in the previous tournament until the Final and has only one day to rest and acclimatize to the new conditions. Of course Bedene is several steps above the Austrian Haider-Maurer, who has still to win a match this year. And I think Bedene is the likely winner today, but not at these odds. The mental and physical exhaustion of the Slovenian during the last week has been evident and now he will have to play under hard humidity and heat conditions. Let's remember that Bedene was playing the Final in Buenos Aires on Sunday and in less than 48 hours he is playing his first round match in Rio de Janeiro. Having said that, when you make this kind of high odds bets, we know the most probably outcome is that we lose it. But I'm sure the value is on Heider-Maurer and these are the kind of bets that have a high expected return in the long run. Under these circumstamces I don't think odds should be higher than 4.00-4.50. We're tired of seeing non-top players who play finals and lose in their first match in the following week.
Lokeren – Kortrijk
Betting prediction: Win Lokeren
Pro League match in Belgium to be played on February 17 at 19:00 UTC in the Daknamstadion and which will face Lokeren and Kortrijk
The local team is the fourteenth ranked with 28 points in a total of 26 games played (7 won, 7 draw and 12 losses) and with a score balance of 29 goals in favor and 42 against. If we see his numbers as home we have that in 13 games he has won 2, 4 draws and has lost 7 with 11 goals in favor and 23 against.
The visiting team is seventh in the standings with 36 points in 26 matches (10 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses) and with a goalscorer score of 38 goals in favor and 36 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have in 13 games he has won 4, tied 1 and lost 8, with 16 goals in favor and 24 against.
In the last 5 home matches Nice has won 3 losses, has won 1 and has tied 1 match. On the other hand, Nantes, in their last 5 away matches, have had 0 draws, 3 won and 2 losses.
Life or death match for Lokeren that has to win no matter what it takes to get out of the lower places of the classification. This match can be propitious because despite its good form, it is not a good team away from home and receives many goals. I believe that the need of the local team can play a fundamental role in achieving victory.
Nice – Nantes
Betting prediction: Win Nice
Match in France of Ligue 1 to be played on February 18 at 14:00 UTC at the Allianz Riviera Stadium and which will face Nice and nantes
The home team is the ninth classified with 34 points in a total of 25 games played (10 won, 4 draw and 11 losses) and with a score of 31 goals in favor and 37 against. If we see their numbers as home we have in 13 games has won 7, 1 draws and has lost 5 with 19 goals in favor and 17 against.
The visiting team is fifth in the standings with 38 points in 25 games (11 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses) and with a score of 26 goals in favor and 26 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have that in 13 games he has won 5, tied 3 and lost 5, with 15 goals in favor and 17 against.
In the last 5 home matches Nice lost 3 matches, and won 2. On the other hand, Nantes, in their last 5 away matches, have had 2 draws, 2 won and 1 lost.
Match in which Nice is clearly favorite although he has lost 4 consecutive games, due to his excellent form at home, and his combination and fast game. For its part, Nantes, although it is a good team, lowers its potential enormously when playing away from home. In addition, the Nice will want to retake the path of victory after the comeback suffered in Europa League.
Jordan Thompson - Yuki Bhambri
Betting prediction:Yuki Bhambri HDP -2.0 games
Altough this looks like fairly even match I have more than few reasons to side with Bhambri here. Thompson didn’t start this new season well, especially considering it was at home in Australia.
He lost to Donaldson(Brisbane), Lorenzi(Sydney) and wasn’t able to get Kicker out of the way at AU Open, being set 1.20 short to win. One would say he maybe can’t handle pressure playing in front of his own crowd.
He got few wins here in Chennai, altough i have to say draw was quite favorable.
Maamoun, Trongcharoenchaikul (Yes I had to copy paste this surname), Petrovic with retirement in quarter finals and probably most solid of the bunch Martinez Portero aren’t quite enough to convince me that Thompson has suddenly turned it around.
Australian has 4 challenger titles in career but last one was in 2016 and after that he had three losses vs Sugita, Norrie and Stebe.
As someone who watched few of his finals I can confirm that he can get nervy at those pressure points
and combined with his bad start of the season its another thing to have in mind.
Bhambri has also got in the finals with routine, dropping only one set to very good Uchiyama and he is definitely one that will present his best tennis at home.
He has been good in Chennai on regular basis wether its ATP or Challenger which btw he won in 2014.
Bhambri won his last two challenger finals and you can guess both were played in India. Pune against solid opponents Ramanathan and Donskoy.
Bhambri can obviously perform above expectations at home, and since Thompson didn’t show much good tennis in 2018. I’m fairly confident Bhambri will cover this short spread.
They have only one H2H match from 2015.
Melbourne Storm - Leeds Rhinos
Betting Prediction: Melbourne -20.5
The World Rugby League World Club challenge is the annual match between the winners of the Australian NRL and the Superleague in the UK. Of the past 5 matches, 4 have been won by the Australian side, with 3 of them being thrashing with a margin of over 22 points.
The current Melbourne Storm side is one of the strongest to have ever played the sport. They dominated the NRL last season, losing just 4 times and scoring an average of over 30 points per game. They have retained the core of that team for the 2018 season with 11 of the starters for the 2017 Grand Final (in which they destroyed North Queensland Cowboys 34-6) appearing in the match against Leeds later this week.
Leeds are without 4 front rowers and may also be missing crucial stand-off Joel Moon who is recovering from a hamstring injury.
Melbourne were able to put plenty of points past the best NRL teams last season, and this Leeds team is not on a level with those defeated opposition. The best UK teams would rank on a par with mid-table NRL teams and I would expect this Melbourne team, playing at home with no fitness concerns to comfortably dispatch the travelling Leeds team. It is a long way to Australia and the weather is vastly different at the moment, expect Leeds to struggle in the heat.
I would have the handicap at around 24, which is the way it is moving at the moment so would recommend taking the -20.5 price. Best odds are at Pinnacle which is where I will be betting!
Max. Marterer - J.Munar Clar
Betting Prediction: Marterer -3.5 games
He plays against Jaime Munar Clar in this match - tennis player from Spain who has had some good shows on fast court tournaments but he is a better player when it's on clay. He struggles against players who can take all the rhythm out of the match with big serving and aggressive approach from the backcourt and that is exactly the kind of player and the style that Max is playing.
I see Max winning this one with 4 or more games difference, they have played only once against each other and Max won the match as expected.
Robin Haase-Thiemo De Bakeer
Betting Prediction: De Bakker +1.5 sets
He is a player of the moment and when he is on he can play with anyone, Robin isn't in great form this season, he struggled on many occasions and rarely wins the match easy. Thiemo will have his chances in this match and will certainly make it enough of a drama.
The definite value on him taking a set least in this one.
Victor Estrella Burgos - Evgeny Donskoy
Betting prediction:Victor Estrella Burgos under 9.0 games
Estrella is now 37 years old and last week he was beaten first time in three seasons at ATP Quito, Ecuador.
King of Quito had solid tournament regardless but the fact is that he is not getting any younger and I am interested how he will adapt to different conditions in New York and how he will behave after losing on his favourite event of the year where he was unbeatable until now.
Estrella biggest strength is mental toughness and even when he was younger, he was pushed around at times on indoor surfaces with his one-handed backhand clearly not much of a help in quick conditions.
This one will be on Donskoy, with the conditions being favourable for him and I am afraid he has too much firepower for a veteran like Estrella Burgos. I expect him to win in straight sets and therefore, it will be tough to crack this 9.0 games margin.
Dzumhur - Copil
Betting prediction: Dzumhur - 3 games (AH)
The Rumanian tennis player Marius Copil played his first ATP tournament Final in Sofia on Sunday. He lost against Mirza Basic in 3 close sets. This Final was quite a surprise to everybody, as any of both players have even played an ATP semifinal before. Now, 2 or 3 days after a busy schedule, Copil has to play another match against a tricky opponent like the player from Bosnia and Herzegovina Damir Dzumhur. It's always difficult for players to maintain their mental and physical form when you have just played a final. And it's even more complicated for players who are not used to this, as Copil. Moreover, the Romanian had played 2 Davis Cup matches the previous weekend. It's quite likely that he will feel one whole week of hard competition in his legs and also in his head. His rival Dzumhur hasn't started the season in great form, but he affirms he is feeling better and better with his game. He is a great returner and although the tournament is played indoor, the surface is relatively slow, what can help him face the big serve of Copil. The bounce of tha ball is very low, what can also benefit a short player like Dzumhur. Under these conditions, I think Dzumhur will win with relative ease.
Sassuolo - Cagliari
Betting Prediction: Over 10.5 corners
I am looking at the corner market for today's tip, which is a market in which there is often vale due to the differing opinions of bookmakers. The price for the total corners being over 10.5 is shifting in, and there is a good reason for it.
Looking at some history so far this season for these 2 teams, for Sassuolo's previous 10 matches there have been an average of 12.2 corners per game and for Cagliari 10.5. Combining the 2 gives us an average of over 11.3 corners a game, more than we need to win our bet. Additionally, in the 20 games there were 11 or more corners 12 times, and fewer than 11 8 times. This might not seem like much, but in betting the margins are tight when the odds are around evens and this can make the difference between a win and a loss.
In close matches, the number of corners is invariably higher than one sided affairs, for obvious reasons...there is only one side doing the attacking! Both sides played Roma and Juventus during this period and these games yielded only 31 corners for the 4 games, just under 8 per game. Whilst I am not saying that these games should be completely removed for the analysis, they do skew the average.
I would expect there to be 11-13 corners tomorrow so will be betting accordingly. The best odds are at SBObet so I will be placing my wager there!
Thiago Monteiro-Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Betting prediction: Over 22.0 games
I still dont trust Ramos that much and his recent performances werent that convincing,from Davis cup weekend to dropping set to Quiroz in first round.
Melzer didnt show up yesterday with not enough first serve made its way in, but im willing to take my chances with another leftie. If we look into Ramos matches against left handers from all the way to 2016 we can see he won only 4 of those in straight sets,being pushed to decider regularly and sample size is decent enough with over 25 matches.
So yes he can have trouble especially with Monteiro enjoying this conditions going past Zeballos,Monfils and Giannessi to get here.
Monteiro doesnt give much on his serve,and he pushed Ramos into deciding set last year in Bastad so i am going with overs and expect similar scenario.
SonderjyskE - FC Nordsjaelland
Betting prediction: Win SonderjyskE
Match in Denmark of the Superligaen, which will be played on February 11 at 15:00 UTC at the Haderslev Fodboldstadion between SonderjyskE and FC Nordsjaelland.
The SonderjyskE is in 9th place with 21 points in a total of 19 games with 5 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. With a goalscorer balance of 30 goals in favor and 28 against. Playing at home, he has played 9 games in which he has won 2, tied 4 and lost 3, with 13 goals in favor and 11 against.
FC Nordsjaelland is the third classified with 39 points in a total of 19 games with 12 wins, 3 tied and 4 lost, with a score of 51 goals in favor and 34 against. Playing as a visiting team with 9 games with 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, getting 24 goals in favor and 20 against.
In the last five home matches SonderjyskE have lost 2, drawn 2 and won 1. For their part, FC Nordsjaelland have lost 2 and won 3 in the last 5 away games.
Match in which the SonderjyskE has to get the victory to be able to continue adding points that help him to get out of the relegation phase. For its part, FC Nordsjaelland has its place in the championship round quite assured. I think that when SonderjyskE plays at home he has a lot of chances to win (the last two losses were against the 1st and 2nd place), he has a cheerful style of play that can make goals, but if they have a good day they are very dangerous. On the other hand FC Nordsjaelland think that it will reserve some important men in this party and that can play in favor of SonderjyskE.
FC Barcelona B - Alcorcón
Betting prediction: Win FC Barcelona B
Match in Spain of the Second Division, which will be played on February 10 at 17:00 UTC at the Mini Estadi between FC Barcelona B and Alcorcón.
FC Barcelona B is in 14th place with 30 points in a total of 25 games with 7 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses. With a goalscorer balance of 30 goals in favor and 30 against. Playing at home, 12 games in which he has won 4, tied 3 and lost 5, with 14 goals in favor and 13 against.
The Alcorcón is the sixteenth ranked with 30 points in a total of 25 games with 7 wins, 9 tied and 9 lost, with a balance of 22 goals in favor and 31 against. Playing as a visiting team with 13 games with 3 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, getting 11 goals in favor and 24 against.
In the last five home matches, FC Barcelona B have lost 2, drawn 1 and won 2. For their part, Alcorcón have lost 3 and tied 2 in the last 5 away games.
It might seem like a supposedly even match, but I clearly see a favor for FC Barcelona B. Both are in some points of the relegation places. But as he most watched the Arcorcón has 5 games without winning away from home and usually fits a lot, goals however, FC Barcelona B, has many chances to get and have few home games as shown in the last game against Granada winning by a forceful 3-0. In addition, we have to count on the individual quality of the subsidiary of the best team in the world at present, FC Barcelona
Paolo Lorenzi-Roberto Carballes Baena
Betting prediction: Paolo Lorenzi to Win
In 11 matches here he was losing only to great opponents like Estrella,Bellucci and Verdasco and he is, along with immortal Estrella, a serious candidate for the title this year.
He was involved in Davis cup duty (Italy-Japan) over the weekend but as a backup only and didn’t play any single match there.
So long, the trip and the fact that Carballes have had two matches already and he is adjusted to conditions are only an advantage to Spaniard.
Carbelles is also a regular at Quito because it is usually only clay tournament at this period of the season, but he have never shown any spectacular tennis in Ecuador capital and he usually wins those matches he "should" and lose to better opponents, never going past 2nd round.
He had a favourable draw here with Escobar and Gaio who ran out of gas after two marathon matches behind him.
Surface is really too fast and ball bounces too much to suit Carballes style and Lorenzi was regularly able to work the conditions here to his advantage.
If there isn’t some jet lag for Lorenzi which I doubt, I think he is a very good bet here in the conditions that he obviously likes.
Zopp - Piros
Betting Prediction: Piros to win
7/7 for my recent tips so on a great run, let's hope it continues with this Challenger tennis match. I like to pick up and coming players against the more established players on a bit of a downslope. The reason being that the betting markets often side with the bigger name simply because of historic matches rather than present day ability and form.
This is no different. Zopp is a bit of a journeyman pro and is not in great form having lost all of his matches in 2018 in straight sets against lower ranked players. He is struggling on serve, being broken each set twice on average so far this year with a very low first serve point winner percentage.
You may not have heard of Zsombor Piros but he is a highly rated Hungarian teenager who has reached a junior high ranking of 3 in the world, as well as winning the boys Australian Open last year. He already has 4 wins to his name in 2018 including taking the scalp of Julian Benneteau, former top 30 player. He is playing at home, talented and in form and the only reason that he isn't favourite for this match is the unknown factor.
I am happy to take SBObet's price of 2.08 for this, the odds have been coming in all day and he may will start odds on for this match.
Betting prediction: Quiroz
Yannick Hanfmann is currently ATP number 112 whilst Quiroz is number 281. However, I think the match might be closer than it might seem a priori due to several factors. On one hand, Quito is played outdoors on clay on the highest official capital city in the world at an altitude of 2,800 m. Playing here is not easy, as many players have stated. The acclimatization to the conditions is specially important, as Bellucci said in 2015: "The altitude makes one miss balls that you wouldn't miss at sea level so the most important thing in these conditions is to maintain focus at every point throughout the match. The altitude is very noticeable. The ball flies a lot but it is the same for everyone. It doesn't take much normally to adapt to the changes in courts and surfaces but it is difficult here because you are at 2,800 metres". Apart from that, we can say that Hanfmann is not having a good start in this season and he has lost his last 3 matches. Moreover, he is making the transition from hard courts to clay, not as Quiroz, who has been playing the Davis Cup on clay this weekened. The Ecuatorian player plays at home, is used to the altitude conditions and therefore might worth a shot at these odds.
Rosario Central - Union de Santa Fe
Betting prediction: Win Rosario Central
Match in Argentina of the Argentinian Primera Division, which will be played on 3rd of February at 20:00 UTC in the Dr Lisandro de la Torre Stadium between Rosario Central and Unión de Santa Fe.
Rosario Central is the twenty-fourth place with 14 points in a total of 13 games with 3 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. With a goal scorer balance of 10 goals in favour and 17 against. Playing at home he has played 6 matches where he has won 2, tied 1 and lost 3, with 3 goals in favour and 8 against.
Union of Santa Fe is the sixth classified with 25 points in a total of 13 games with 7 won, 4 tied and 2 lost, with a goal scorer balance of 18 goals in favour and 10 against. Playing as a visiting team with 7 games with 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, getting 10 goals in favour and 8 against.
In the last five home matches Rosario Central has lost 3 and has won 2. For its part, Unión de Santa Fe in the last 5 away matches have won 2, lost 2 and tied 1.
In this game if we pay attention to the classification it seems that there is a big difference between both teams, but it is not like that. The Union of Santa Fe has become totally undeserved (the last against„ Patronato” with a penalty in last minutes, for example). For its part Rosario Central is showing its best side at home in the last two games with well-worked victories. So I think Rosario Central can take the victory in this game.
Dusan Lajovic - John Isner
Betting Prediction: Over 40 games
John Isner and Dusan have played five times against each other, Dusan has won two of those encounters while John has won three of them but all of the matches were fairly contested and none of them were easy to win.
The Serb might not have as big of a serve as John does at this point but he is quite capable to perform on big stages such as this one and is playing on his favorite surface, where he both John the one time they did play on clay in Buenos Aires by 7-6 4-6 7-6.
I think that this match will be tight as well with a couple of tiebreaks on the way and overall a very contested match by both players, if they go into four or even five sets I count of them to cover the spread and make this one a winning bet for all of us.
Ruben Bemelmans - Marton Fucsovics
Betting Prediction: Over 38.5 games
Ruben hasn't enjoyed the same start to the season but he is a player that rises up to the occasion and always plays well in Davis Cup so there is no reason for that not to be the case in this one as well.
They have played two times against each other, similar conditions to these with both matches being played on an indoors hardcourt and the Hungarian has won both of those matches but none of them have been too easy.
I think that this one will be quite a tight match as well, with one player in great form but Ruben as the host will get the most of the momentum and the cheers from the crowd and will look to make an upset.
I don't see either of them winning this one in straight sets here.
Mikhail Kukushkin - Adrien Bodmer
Betting prediction: Mikhail Kukushkin -8.0 games handicap
Mikhail Kukushkin is one of those players that tend to outperform playing for their country in Davis cup, especially when it’s on their home court as he played great matches in the past for his national team even vs the best players like Djokovic, Wawrinka or Goffin. He is of course really familiar with conditions here being DC veteran and having great record at Astana challengers after winning a title on a couple of occasions. Bodmer is 22 years old and he is an ITF level competitor with only one interesting match against top100. It was against Kukushkin. We can say it was a decent resistance losing 7-5 6-3 but with difference it was in his own backyard (Basel) and now the situation is reversed. Since december, Bodmer is on 5 wins-6 loss score on ITF and lost to following players:
J.Hernandez-Fernandez 1-6 6-7
I.Endara 4-6 3-6
M.Authom 5-7 4-6
S.Doumbia 5-7 3-6
We can see that even in two set format he didn’t keep none of those matches below 4 margin and Kukushkin can’t even be compared to players I have mention above.
He have had some retirements earlier this year but he should be ready for this as Kazakhstan team rely heavily on his performances.
On his home court I expect routine performance likely in three sets and with at least 8 points margin. Kukushkin will probably prove to be a way too difficult opponent for Bodmer on his debut in Davis cup singles.
Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano
Betting prediction: Osasuna to win
Match in Spain of the Second Division that will be played on February 2 at 20:00 UTC at the El Sadar Stadium and that will face Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano
The local team is the sixth classified with 38 points in a total of 24 games played (10 won, 8 draw and 6 defeats) and with a score balance of 29 goals in favor and 21 against. If you have your numbers at home we have 12 games you have won 5, 5 draws and you have lost 2 with 19 goals in favor and 15 against.
The visiting team is fourth in the standings with 40 points in 24 matches (10 wins, 10 draws and 4 defeats) and with a goal scorer score of 39 goals in favor and 28 against. If you have seen your popularity number in 11 matches you have won 3, tied 6 and lost 2, with 14 goals in favor and 12 against.
In the last 5 home matches Osasuna has 2 losses, 2 winnings and tied 1 match. On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano, in their last 5 away matches, has had 3 draws, 1 won and 1 lost.
Match for the fight to continue holding in the playoff positions of promotion to the First Spanish Division. Osasuna needs a victory that will keep him in the privileged positions of the classification after doing an excellent role before the leader (Huesca) last week. On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano suddenly comes to 5-1 at the bottom, which can cause an excess of confidence in a deceptive result in favor. The Sadar is a difficult field for any team, even more so when these cold times arrive. In addition, in the first leg Osasuna got a 0-3 win at Rayo Vallecano's home. The need and the impetus of Osasuna should be his two pillars to win in the game.
Levante v Real Madrid
Betting Prediction: Over 1.5 goals 1st half
Real Madrid's woes this season have been catalogued and analysed at length. However, there are signs lately that they have turned a corner, at least in the league. Levante, on the other hand, have been plummeting recently and look destined for a relegation battle likely to last until the final games of the season.
In the past 8 games, in which Real Madrid have been involved, there have been 32 goals, so an average of exactly 4 per game. In those games there have been at least 2 goals scored within the 5 first minutes of the first half. They tend to excel against very weak opposition, as shown by the 7-1 thrashing of Deportivo recently. This turnaround in form has coincided with a return to fitness and the starting lineup of Gareth Bale; whilst Ronaldo tends to score the goals, Bale is often involved and it is no surprise to see the number of goals per game rising.
While Levante are a decent enough side against lower opposition, once they play against the best they are usually outclassed. They have lost 3-0, 4-0 and 5-0 to Barcelona, Betis and Atletico this season and are simply not good enough to repel constant waves of attacks.
I am surprised by this price, I see it as a great value and would have expected odds closer to 1.8 so I would recommend a fairly strong bet.
SBObet have the best odds here so that is where I will be betting!
Jason Kubler - Kimmer Coppejans
Betting prediction: Jason Kubler -4.5 games handicap
The player who once cracked top 100 is now 277 in rankings and there was a bit of stir as he refused Davis Cup invitation for Belgiu-Hungary match scheduled this weekend which drawn some negative comments from coach Van Herck. His story was that he already set things up book flights etc. for this Australian tournament with following comments:
"For me, it is now especially important to have confidence, after a difficult season last year. My ranking was in free fall last year, but once the trust is back, I can systematically climb to the top again."
Also worth mention is that he made changes to his coaching staff.
This statement along with rejecting Davis cup duty says a lot about his confidence. He played two tours in the new season both in Turkey and both lost in quarterfinals to questionable opponents:
3-6 3-6 vs James Storrie
6-1 6-7 3-6 vs Zizou Bergs not looking too good if I'm asked.
I hope it’s safe to say Kubler is finally over his injuries. Once dubbed as right-handed Rafael Nadal and one of best juniors he had 6 knee operations that cost him fulfilling his potentials, until last few months.
He started season great opening with challenger title in Playfield, lost next week vs Nishioka but that can't be taken against him, strong opponent right before majors.
He has shown a great resistance vs top 20 Carreno Busta and confirmed that he is really in great rhythm now.
Coppejans form and confidence are on the low side at the moment, and Kubler is disaster matchup in that circumstances. Australian will be all over him at his home court and I expect the spread to be covered one way or another.
Perthy Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers
Betting prediction: Perthy Glory to win
A-League match in Australia to be played on January 28 at 10:30 UTC at nib Stadium and face Perthy Glory and Western Sydney Wanderers
The home team is ninth classified with 16 points in a total of 17 games played (5 won, 1 draw and 11 losses) and with a score of 19 goals in favor and 36 against. If we see his numbers as home we have that in 7 games he has won 3, 0 draws and has lost 4, with 5 goals in favor and 10 against.
The visiting team is sixth in the standings with 19 points in 16 matches (4 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses) and with a goalscorer balance of 17 goals in favor and 27 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have that in 9 matches he has won 2, tied 5 and lost 2, with 10 goals in favor and 12 against.
In the last 5 home matches Perthy Glory has won 4 losses and has won 1 match. On the other hand, Western Sydney Wanderers, in the last 5 away matches has had 1 draw, 2 wins and 2 losses.
In this game only 3 points separate both teams. The victory of the Perthy Glory would take him to Play-offs, just the place that now occupies the Western Sydney Wanderers. Perthy Glory is a team that fights every game to the death and must break its negative streak soon if it wants to continue fighting for Play-offs. Therefore we will go with the local team this time.
Liverpool - West Brom
Betting Prediction: West Brom +1.5 to cover Asian Handicap
The Australian Open tips are over for this year with a pleasing 100% success rate. We now move back onto football with the FA Cup and a match between Liverpool and West Brom.
At first glance this looks like a mismatch with Liverpool 4th in the Premier League and West Brom 19th, but it is really about the lineups that both teams put out. Liverpool will be resting several key player with an eye on their crucial Premier League match against Spurs next week; expect the famous front 3 to be broken up after looking tired in their last outing against Swansea, where they unexpectedly lost 1-0. Reserve choices Mignolet, Sturridge and Alexander-Arnold look set for a start.
Form wise, West Brom have turned the corner slightly in recent weeks, with only 1 defeat in their past 6. They are not easy to break down, rarely conceding more than 2 goals per game even against the very top sides and showed some pedigree by drawing at Anfield early in the season.
Liverpool are of course deserved favourites but I could see West Brom crowding midfield in much the same way Swansea did to stifle Liverpool's creativity. A draw or a win by 1 goal is the most likely result here, hence the decent value on West Brom to cover their 1.5 asian handicap.
Best odds are with Matchbook which is where I will be betting!
Nancy - Stade Brestois 29
Betting prediction: Nancy to win
Match in France of the League 2 that will be played on January 26 at 20:00 UTC at the Stade Marcel-Picot and will face Nancy and Stade Brestois 29.
The home team is the seventeenth ranked with 21 points in a total of 22 games played (4 won, 9 draws and 9 losses) and with a goalscorer score of 22 goals in favor and 30 against. If we see his numbers as home we have that in 11 games he has won 3, 5 draws and has lost 3, with 16 goals in favor and 15 against.
The visiting team is seventh in the standings with 36 points in 22 games (10 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses) and with a score of 33 goals in favor and 27 against. If we see his numbers as a visitor we have in 11 games he has won 6, tied 2 and lost 3, with 19 goals in favor and 16 against.
In the last 5 home matches Nancy has played 3 losses and 2 draws. On the other hand, Stade Brestois 29 has 2 draws, 2 victories and 1 loss in the last 5 away matches.
Match that may seem unbalanced, but that really is not so much. In spite of the place of the classification that occupies Nancy, this one does not correspond with the game of the team, that is demonstrated in the last cup game against Lyon or the last defeat of a penalty in the last minute. On the other hand, Stade Brestois 29, has 3 consecutive games without winning and is not showing his best form. Therefore, Nancy's need to win should be the force that leads to his victory.
Cilic - Edmund
Betting Prediction: Cilic- 4 games
Kyle Edmund is a new name on the tennis stage and it’s the first time in his career that he has come this far. Defeating some very well-known players on his way here (Kevin Anderson, Denis Istomin, Nikolos Basilashvili, Andreas Seppi and Grigor Dimitrov) has been very impressive.
However, the Croatian right now is playing some of the best tennis of his life and if he manages to maintain the level of confidence and ball striking from the back of the court there can only be one winner in this match.
Marin is a better server, has a better backhand and is better close to the net. The only advantage Edmund has is his forehand which is very aggressive while Cilic makes a lot of mistakes. Edmund has a chance only if he forces the Croatian to hit a lot of unforced errors early enough in the game by keeping the ball to the far right of the field. That would frustrate Cilic and make him lose his concentration.
The two players have met only once before at the end of 2017. Cilic won in straight sets by 6-3 and 7-6. Overall, the Croatian has the clear advantage. He is more experienced in these situations, is in good shape and it is far more likely that he will break Edmund’s serve. He is clearly the better choice for a winner and the odds of 1.74 offered on Pinnacle is worth the risk.
Federer - Berdych
Betting prediction: Over 36 games
The way Federer is playing and winning his matches suggests that he is the favorite to win the 2018 Australian Open. He has still to lose a set and he is being extremely confident with his serve. He has served for 60 games in the tournament and he has lost it only twice! All of the above are the reasons he is the absolute favorite to win against Berdych
The odds for Berdych to win are around 5.50 now. However, we should take into account that Berdych is having a great tournament too! In his last two matches he has defeated Del Potro and Fognini without losing a set. He is also serving great and he is resting particularly well. He has broken his rivals' serve 26 times in 58 games. I think this will be the most difficult match for Roger Federer so far and I expect it to be close. Roger is the likely winner, but I don't think it will be easy at all. Should Federer lose at least one set, the bet is very likely to be a winner.
Arsenal - Chelsea
Betting Prediction: Arsenal to win
For Arsenal the Emirates is a stronghold. They have lost only once at home this season while they emerged victorious at 14 out of the 18 encounters they had. They certainly feel more confidence at their own turf, however, their defensive issues may cause concern if Chelsea decide to attack.
Chung - Sandgren
Betting Prediction: Sandgren +6.5 games handicap
4/4 on tennis tips for the Australian Open with only a few days left to go! We are into the quarter final stage and uncharted territory for both of these players. The bookmakers have Chung as a heavy favourite, based no doubt on their idea of his future potential, but there are so many unknowns in this match that I would have it a lot closer.
Neither have been this deep into a Grand Slam so neither will have had to have dealt with the fatigue and constant pressure that this brings; especially Chung hailing from South Korea. He is becoming somewhat of a trailblazer for Korean tennis. Pressure will be an enormous factor in the match, at least early on and I can see Sandgren taking the first set which will go a huge way to covering the handicap.
These 2 played each other only a couple of weeks ago and it was close, Chung taking it 6-3 in the 3rd. There were plenty of break points, plenty of momentum swings and I see no reason why this match will be any different. Both have come through difficult games and both have beaten top players (Wawrinka, Thiem for Sandgren and Djokovic, Zverev for Chung), so there are just too many similarities for the very low Chung price.
By taking the game handicap you are acknowledging that Chung is likely to win, but that it should be closer than the prices show.
Best price around is with Pinbet88 so that is where I will be betting!
Rohan Bopanna/Edouard Roger Vasellin - Oliver Marach/Mate Pavic
Betting Prediction: Pavic/Marach to win
Rohan Bopanna and Edouard Roger Vasellin have been playing doubles for a long time now, the Indian has much more experience than the two players. Even though they have been pretty solid on tournaments, they haven't clicked as much. They played together in a couple of matches back in 2013 season and joined forces once again during Wimbledon last season. There has been no particular success they earned, they lost in the 2nd round.
They united again this season and they are together now at the Australian Open after going to Sydney semi-finals where they lost to Kubot and Mirny rather easily.
Rohan is the best server of the two players, has good strength on it and good variety with some dangerous kick serve, while the French player has also great strength but his services are mostly predictable and there is nothing that special about them. On the other side, he is a better returner of the two and can produce more power on the both wings of the court. Still, they can give away matches quite easily, both have tendencies to create double faults and make silly mistakes at the critical stages of the match and don't go that well under pressure, as their opponents in this match manage to do.
I don't think that this match will be too easy for them to win, but what we can see from their performance so far is that they find a way to win tough matches. They are in a better form than their opponents are, they got the momentum as well and seem to be one of the favourites to go all the way up at the Aussie Open to get the title.
My money and advice go to Pavic/Marach.
Leicester – Watford
Betting Prediction: home -0,5
Jamie Vardy may have taken the pre-coordinate features in Leicester's FA Cup replay with Fleetwood Town on Tuesday, but it was Kelechi Iheanacho that left his mark in the night when Vardy took a backseat against the team he formerly played for. The late spring marking got twice to seal their movement to the fourth Round, in spite of the fact that it was baffling for them that they were compelled to a replay by the League One side.
The Foxes have been unbeaten for four aggressive matches, with such triumphs against Huddersfield and Fleetwood sandwiching goalless attracts away to Fleetwood and Chelsea since the beginning of the year. Before that they had neglected to win five on the bob, so it's an incredible turnaround of frame from them after a troublesome period.
This leaves Leicester eighth on the Premier League table, and Burnley right above them with only three points. Leicester have a great opportunity to get ahead as Watford will confront against Manchester City soon. It enables that they have won four of their last seven home diversions in the association too, and that they are confronting a Watford side inclined to crumple now and again.
The Hornets made a delightful beginning to the season, however Marco Silva's men have vacillated lately and can barely find their feet once again. They rescued a disputable point at home against Southampton a weekend ago. It’s disputable because of Abdoulave Doucoure’s obvious handball. After all, they have won only one of their last ten Premier League games and have lost seven of them.
Obviously, Watford have dropped behind the table in contrast to their previous good reputation. Placed tenth on the table, they are now only six points away from the relegation zone which arouses more and more interest.
Gladbach – Augsburg
Betting Prediction: Augsburg +0,25
Augsburg seem to be the unexpected bundle of the season so far in the Bundesliga. Manuel Baum's men are required to have a transfer battle staring them in the face this term, yet the Bavarians turned into a substantially more adjusted team in the second half of 2017 – truth to be told, just once have Augsburg had much more focus on the board after 18 matches. Forward Alfred Finnbogason has become the team’s essential objective danger, with just Robert Lewandowski and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang in front of him in the "Brilliant Boot" race, and there's a probability that the Icelandic global will be back in the beginning XI at this end of the week.
While Augsburg are accomplishing the objectives, Gladbach have been battling with inconsistency so far –the misfortune defeat against to the base of the table Cologne in a weekend ago's derby– and various damage issues, for example, the continuous nonattendance of midfielders Fabian Johnson and Ibrahima Traore does them no favor as well. Luckily for Dieter Hecking, Raffael, who scored off the seat a weekend ago, is relied upon to give his 100% for Saturday, in the wake of defeating minor damage issues. Thorgan Hazard is relied upon to help the Brazilian behind with an inventive number 10.
Regarding wagering, loads of objectives and at the two closures seem to be justified regardless of a punt here. Augsburg's present scoring structure is about comparable to it could be, scoring at least 2 in everything except one of their keep going five group trips out and about – the match in which they weren’t (nothing unexpected) against ruling champions Bayern Munich – yet the Bavarians have a lot to do regarding their defence. Augsburg have kept only one clean sheet in 12 Bundesliga matches since September, which is something a team like Borussia Monchengladbach ought to have the capacity to benefit from, particularly all alone turf – Gladbach couldn’t score at home just once this season (11%).
Borussia Monchengladbach versus Augsburg has likewise delivered some gigantic scorelines as of late (see measurements), so this ought to be justified regardless of a look for fans and neutrals alike. Augsburg's enhanced shape and above average reputation against Hecking's side (see no holds barred) should make this a precarious apparatus, and with the hosts being unable to concentrate on matches they ought to win, for instance against Cologne a weekend ago, you must push the limits of Augsburg to cause a bombshell on Saturday –even more if their best scoring forward makes his arrival.
Numancia - Rayo Vallecano
Betting prediction: Numancia to win
Let’s go to the Segunda División in Spain for a confrontation on January 21 at 18:00 GMT at the Los Pajaritos Stadium between two ex-Liga Santander members: Numancia and Rayo Vallecano.
Los Numantinos are fifth on the table with 36 points in a total of 22 games played (10 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses) at a balance of 32 goals in favour and 25 against. If we see these numbers at home we have that out of 10 games they have won 8, lost the other 2, scored 18 goals and conceded 6.
Los Franjirrojos are just one spot above with the same points (36) but a record of 9 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses, with a balance of 34 goals in favour and 27 against. As visitors, in 10 matches they have won 3, tied 5 and lost 2, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded.
In the last 5 matches at home, Numancia has won 2 and lost 3, while Rayo Vallecano have won 3, drew1 and lost 1 in their away appearances.
The match is for the fight to stay in the positions that lead to a promotion to the Spanish First Division. The local team has managed to be there mainly because of its strength in Los Pajaritos. Their morale must be over the top as they just managed a magnificent 2-2 draw at Santiago Bernabeu against Real Madrid for the Copa del Rey. On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano has only won one of their last games away from home and I think they are in a worse condition than Numancia. Therefore we will go with the locals for this match.
Berdych - Del Potro
Betting Prediction: Berdych to win
This is a match between 2 favourites of the men's tour, even though Berdych's stock has dropped a little over the past after being a perennial top 10 player. The odds for him started at around 2.3. However, they are now dropping towards a more accurate value, which in my estimation is approximately 2.1.
Del Potro is a fantastic warrior of a tennis player but he has never done well at the Australian Open, going no further than the quarter finals. Why? Del Potro has had plenty of injuries and has always needed time to get going after a break. He is a form player and the Australian Open comes at the wrong time of the year for him. He is far more likely to be winning mid-year tournaments than early year ones.
Berdych is steady. His lack of form last year was due to a back injury which curtailed his season, but now that he is fit again he will be back to the top 10. He copes better than Del Potro in the heat (it has been brutal once again in Australia) and I feel that should this be a long match (which it is very likely), his stamina will be better than Del Potro’s. This match is almost a coin toss but given the odds, there is only one player to be betting on!
Best odds are at Pinbet88 which is where I will be betting!
Tours - Chamois Niortais
Betting prediction: Tours to win
This is a match for the Ligue 2 of France scheduled for January 19 at 19:00 GMT at the Stade de la Vallée-du-Cher. The hosts Tours play against Chamois Niortais.
The locals are last on the table with 6 points after 21 games played. The record is dreadful. 1 win, 3 draws and 17 losses. So is the balance of goals with 10 for and 40 against. Even worse is their record or the matches at home. In 10 games they managed to achieve their single victory, one of their draws and lost 8 times scoring 7 and conceding 20.
The visitors are in a vastly better condition both in terms of their standings and the quality of the football they play. They are in the middle of the table with 26 points in 21 games having won 7, drawn 5 and lost 9. They have a descent offense with 24 goals scored but a rather problematic defence that conceded 30. In their away games the record shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses with 12 goals in favour and 15 against.
Paying attention to the current form of the two teams, it is my hope that the locals can get their second victory at home. Tours do not play bad football and do not take bad losses their rivals. On the other hand, the visitor comes from a bad 5-0 loss at the hands of Auxerre,. That could cause low morale for their players. I will bet for Tours in this match.
Carreño - Muller
Betting prediction: Carreño to win
Carreño made it to the third round of the Australian Open without too much of an effort. He defeated Jason Kubler in the first round, ranked 242, in a tough match of 4 sets. Then, in the second round, he qualified over Simon when the French player had to withdraw due to a leg injury.
Muller, on the other hand, survived a 5 set match against Jaziri in a 4-hour battle under hot weather conditions. The player from Luxembourg arrived at this tournament having some doubts about the state of his elbow which forced him to miss the last months of 2017. Muller stated just a few days ago "My elbow feels like an elbow that was abused for the last several years. I mean, it’s all right. I mean, I’m not going to say it’s perfect, but it’s okay. I’m able to perform well, and so that’s the main goal. We’ll see what happens. It’s kind of tough, beginning of the season. I had a couple of months more where I didn’t play any matches because of that injury … I still feel a little bit rusty on the court, but we’ll get there."
Carreño will control and dominate the exchanges, but he is also a player that can hurt his rival through his serve. Muller will rely on his serve exclusively to win. If we consider that Muller's elbow is still not 100% and that he may still be recovering from the encounter against Jaziri, I think a fresh Carreño is the more likely winner here.
Gavrilova - Mertens
Betting Prediction: Mertens to win
They are both mid ranked players, Gavrilova had a great run of form mid 2017 but her form dipped towards the end of the year. She can be relied upon to regularly beat players ranked 50 and above in the world but struggles against the top players due to her lack of power. Elise Mertens, whilst her ranking isn't top 20 yet, is on her way there.
Mertens won her only tournament of 2018 and reached the semis of her last tournament of 2017. She is in the form of her life and possesses a lot of power, something that Gavrilova has historically had difficulty with. Mertens serve, in particular, is going to cause many problems for Gavrilova who isn't the tallest player around so will struggle with reach. Not much can be read into first round performances as both players had easy victories against wildcards, losing only 5 games between them.
Gavrilova does has have good past results at Australia, but the vast majority of her wins have been expected, she never really came up against a true top player.
The best odds for this can be found at Pinbet88 which is where I will be betting!
Shapovalov - Tsonga
Betting prediction: Shapavalov to win
Odds on Shapovalov might seem a bit low if you do not follow the Tennis world too closely. However, I believe otherwise. Tsonga had a very short preparation for the Australian Open. The Frenchman said a few days ago:
"I had a long break after the Davis Cup so I decided to come here earlier to acclimatize to the conditions and to recover from the jet lag. This is the first time I come on January 1st in Melbourne. I think this is good. Obviously I would prefer to have played a few matches but I feel very good at training."
We've seen at this Australian Open many players who haven't played any competition matches in the preseason to have a very choppy performance. Many have been eliminated as a result. The Canadian player is a very dangerous player showing great promise for the future. In the first round he won 77% of points on his serve against a tough rival like Tsitsipas. Tsonga defeated a ranked 213 player in straight sets, so we cannot get too many conclusions out of it.
It will be a serve-dominated match and in my opinion, if we take into account that Tsonga is far from being close to his best form, anyone can win and therefore the value is on Shapovalov. For me it is a 50/50 match.
Kumkhum - Errani
Betting Prediction: Kumkhum to win
Errani has been in woeful form over the past year, reduced to playing second-tier tournaments to improve her ranking and confidence, and even these have produced mixed results. She is nowhere close to the player that she once was and her odds are once again a result of past performances rather than current form.
Kumkhum is a steady pro who has been seeing more success in recent times than in the past. She is at a career-high ranking of 124 (incidentally higher than that of Errani) and is improving. She may be intimated by the name of the player that she is facing, but only for that reason would I have the odds slightly higher than 1.8, a fair price would be 1.9 so anything over 2.00 is value.
I tipped the Vinci match to finish 2-0, and it was indeed a thrashing, I would say Errani has more left in her than Vinci so would expect it to be closer if I had to guess it would be 2-1 to Kumkhum.
As the price is dropping everywhere the best you will find will be at pinbet88 so that is where I am betting!
Cuevas – Youzhny
Betting Prediction: Cuevas
This is the first match for Michail Youzhny in 2018. The Russian player has not played any preparation tournaments for Australia and his form is quite uncertain. Many players show to be a bit rusty when they play after some weeks or months off the courts and therefore this is a big issue for Youzhny here. We cannot say too much about the Pablo Cuevas form either because he has only played 2 matches in 2018, but at least he is more in a completion rhythm. In normal circumstances I think Cuevas should have a clear edge over Youzhny, who is 35 years old and at the last stage of his career. For me the chances of Cuevas beating the Russian are 2 out of 3 at least and therefore I think at these odds it's a value bet.
Sandgren - Chardy
Betting Prediction: Sandgren
This is the first match for Jeremy Chardy (ATP ranking #77) in 2018. The French tennis player had to withdraw from Pune citing personal reasons. We knew that his mother in law had died recently so it was not a surprise. Therefore, Chardy shows no previous record of his game and this is an important point of concern. If he was drawn to play against a very weak rival, he might even win easily. But the 26-year old Tennys Sandgren is a Top 100 player that won't be easy to beat at all! He has already played in Auckland this year where he went through the qualifiers and lost in the first round match against the Korean young promise Hyeon Chung in 3 sets, which is a not a bad sign. Even under these circumstances I think Chardy is the favorite to get to the second round, but not at the odds offered. For me the value bet is Sandgren.
Blinkova - Vinci
Betting Prediction: Blinkova to win
The Australian Open tennis is due to start next week. The first major tournament of the year has already been struck with withdrawals from many of the top players. Fortunately, we are not looking at any of these players for today's tip which concerns a women's qualifier to gain entry into the Open.
Those of you who follow tennis will probably have heard of one of the 2 players involved in this match. Roberta Vinci, former US Open finalist and top 20 regular of the past. Age has caught up with her unfortunately and her 2017 season was shocking, winning only 1 of her final 6 games. The beginning of 2018 hasn’t fared much better either, losing in straight sets to McHale in China. Closer analysis of her matches shows us that, apart from the single win, she has failed to win a single set. One win since June 2017 is no recipe for confidence.
Anna Blinkova is relatively new on the tennis circuit, a youngster of only 19, but her stock is rising along with her ranking. She won 2 matches in her only tournament so far this year, falling to Zhang in China, which is no bad loss at all. She had steamrolled her 2 previous opponents.
The only reason that the odds are not lower for this match is respect for Vinci's past exploits. However, she was a great player a long time ago, sadly for her and all Italian tennis fans.
I expect Blinkova to come through in straight sets, but for safety’s sake I’m tipping just the win. Best odds for this are at Pinbet88 which is where I will be betting!
Kyrgios - Dimitrov
Betting Prediction: Kyrgios
The winner of the Brisbane tournament will probably come out of this semi-final. Dimitrov has won his 2 matches in 3 sets in 2 and a half hour battles. He looked quite rusty in his first match of the season against Millman, with tons of unforced errors and improved his game against Edmund in the second round, whom he defeated 6-4 in the decider. The English player got injured in his right ankle at 4-4. Even though the Bulgarian didn't lose his serve, he made 8 double faults in the match.
Kyrgios on the other hand, seemed to have a knee problem in his first encounter of the tournament against Ebden, but he looked fully recovered against Dolgopolov. Overall Dimitrov’s performance hasn't been bad at all this week, but my view is that he cannot make so many unforced errors and double faults if he wants to beat Kyrgios. If the Australian keeps on serving well, for me he is the favourite to get to the final.
De Minaur - Harrison
Betting Prediction: Harrison to win
The Australian 18 years old talent De Minaur is making an incredible tournament. Until now, he had never gone through the second round of an ATP tournament and now he is fighting for a place in the final! And it's not that he has had an easy draw. He has beaten the Top 50 player Steve Jonson and the Canadian bomber Milos Raonic and he has still to lose a set this week! I'm sure he will give much to talk about in the tennis world in the future and even this season, but maybe it's too soon for him to play well in so many consecutive matches and reach an ATP Final.
Due to the fact that he is playing at home at such a high level, I think the market is overestimating his chances. It's true that Ryan Harrison has suffered much more to get to the semis but I think we should look at the big picture and not only at this tournament to assess the likelihood of both rivals to win the match.
Sometimes the market, and therefore the punters, go too far when assessing the players’ recent form. Harrison is a much more experienced player and for me he is quite likely to stop the great run of the Australian youngster. For that reason I think that the Harrison odds are generous and the value is here.
Cagliari – Juventus & Atletico – Getafe
Betting Prediction: Cagliari – Juventus, Juventus + Atletico – Getafe, Atletico
Let’s go for a Parlay bet for you this time.
Cagliari look extremely embarrassing against top teams. Their aggregate result against the top 5 this season is 13-1. They do not have many injuries of key players in the squad but the way they are playing, it does not matter.
On the other hand, Juventus improve their performances every match they play. After a poor start of the season they are now only one point behind Napoli. All their key players are healthy and able to provide coach Allegri with plenty of options. They should win this game easily.
For the second match, Atletico will host one of this season’s sensations – Getafe. The form of Atletico went up before the break and a quick look at the game against Lleida Esportu shows that it did not diminish. The arrival of Diego Costa gave the team a lot of confidence and of course the scoring skills he provides. However, they will have to do something about the absences of Felipe Luis and Saul but it should not be a problem.
Getafe will have to fight without their best and most important player Markel Bergara and it should be a big problem for them. Furthermore, there is a psychological handicap here as Getafe have lost every single of their last 12 games to Atletico either as hosts or as guests.
As we see it, Atletico’s playing style will be extremely uncomfortable for Getafe and we do not think that the guest team will be able to glean any points here.
Tottenham - West Ham
Betting Prediction: Tottenham -1.75
This match was originally due to be played in December but was postponed for safety reasons and will be the 2nd game for both teams in 3 days, which is likely to play into Spurs' hands. Better teams have bigger and better squads so whilst Spurs can rotate players with little change in quality, the same can't be said for West Ham!
One major factor is the return to the starting line-up of the prolific Harry Kane who has 6 goals in the past 2 games that he started. He is on fire, rested and will be a nightmare for the West Ham defence. I expect him to be involved heavily in both creation and scoring, and wouldn't be surprised if he continued where he left off.
This tip requires that Spurs win by 2 or more, clear goals, so let's look at their recent scoring record. 21 goals in 7 games works out as 3 per game, so more than enough to win the bet should recent form continue. At home it is even better with 15 in their past 4 games.
West Ham's defence is by no means the worst, but they have a tendency to fall apart against the top teams, especially away from home. If I had to pick a score it would be 3-1 but I'd expect the Spurs to achieve the 2 goal difference needed.
Best odds to be found are at SBObet so that is where I will be betting!
Accrington Stanley - Morecambe
Betting Prediction: Total Goals over 2.5
In 23 games in which Accrington Stanley have been involved, there have been a total of 65 goals, which gives us a nice average of 2.82 goals per game for the home favourites. Goals in Morecambe games are fewer at just over 2.20 goals per game but I would like to investigate relevant home and away form a little closer.
Morecambe are very poor away from home, only winning 1 of their 12 games whilst Accrington have a decent home record with 6 wins from their 11 games. But do we care about the win performances when betting on the total goals, not really but it is relevant. So what about goals per game for Accrington home matches? 31 in 11, or 2.82 goals per game. And for Morecambe away matches? Well this rises from the 2.2 for all matches up to 2.33 goals per game. Combining the averages for both teams we arrive at 2.68 goals per game...nicely above our 2.5 limit.
So whilst it is unlikely to be a goal fest, recent history shows us that we are more likely to have 3 or more goals than 2 or fewer, meaning that the odds of close to 2.00 must be taken. Best odds are at SBObet which is where I will be betting!
Bournemouth – Everton
Betting Prediction: Everton +0,25 @1.892
Bournemouth is definitely the second worst team in England. They have a really weak team without any stars and only a few players who could play for any team outside the relegation zone. They try to play an attractive, offensive football but it seems like Howe’s regime comes to an end. They did not manage to stop their winless streak against West Ham and are now sitting on the 18th place on the table.
On the other hand, Everton, despite still having big injury crises in the team, have become points-grabber under the direction of Sam Allardyce. The play awful football and allow their opponents to dominate games, however, they started collecting points regularly even against big teams like Chelsea. They have some good players like Sigurdsson and for us it is them who are the favorites for this game. The have a good chance to fight all the way to the 7th place in the league at the end of the season and, the way we see it, they will do so either by winning or by at least not losing games like the one against Bournemouth.
Roma - Sassuolo
Betting Prediction: Roma under 2 and 2.5 team goals
Roma host mid-table Sassuolo on the 30th, for a seemingly easy home win on the cards. I suspect that Roma will indeed win, but perhaps not as easily as the odds are suggesting and they are unlikely to run in a bundle of goals.
Sassuolo have a decent defence, and for this bet to be a winner, they need to concede 2 or fewer goals. Roma need to score 3 for your bet to lose. Let's take a look at the evidence...
Sassuolo have conceded 28 goals during their 18 games this season, which is just over 1.5 goals per game. They only conceding 3 or more goals in 5 of those games. Apart from their decent defence, they have no injury worries to a squad marshalled by the ever reliable Paolo Cannavaro.
Roma are far from prolific scorers, with 28 goals in 17 matches (compared to the other top teams like Juventus with 45, Napoli with 41 and Lazio with 34). They tend to win matches by not conceding rather than blowing away the opposition. At home they have only 15 goals in 9, making the feat of scoring 3 against Sassuolo even more implausible
Sassuolo have also won their previous 3 games so, taking all of the above, I find the 2.04 on offer for under 2/2.5 team goals for Roma to be incredibly generous.
The best odds to be found are at Pin88 so that is where I will be betting!
Napoli - Sampdoria
Betting Prediction: Napoli -1.5 Asian Handicap
League leaders Napoli face mid table Sampdoria this weekend in a match that I would have tipped as being a lot closer just a few weeks ago.
Napoli have maintained their good form with a loss to Juventus (which is nothing to be ashamed of!) as the only blot on their copybook in recent times. Sampdoria, on the other hand, have let their great start to the season slip, losing 4 of their past 6 in all competitions, including an ugly defeat at home to relegation contenders Sassuolo.
The main problem for Sampdoria isn’t necessarily in front of goal, where they are still scoring, but at the back where they have been conceding far too many recently. An average of 2 conceded per game out of their past 7 just isn't good enough for a team pushing for Europe...and this is where they are going to be punished by Napoli.
2nd only to Juventus in terms of goals scored, Napoli are prolific in the final third of the field, whilst at home their defence is miserly, only conceding 4 all season! If I had to pick a score for this it would be 3-1, but I am confident enough about Napoli's general dominance to pick them to win by at least 2 clear goals.
I am choosing Sbobet as my place for this bet, simply because they have the best odds available and will never limit you!
Plymouth - Oldham
Betting Prediction: Oldham to win
The tipping record currently stands at: suggested 13, won 9 and lost 4, something that I am very proud of and hope to continue! I am visiting the English Division 1 for today's tip with the game between Plymouth and Oldham. There has been a decent amount of betting activity so far on this match, with odds coming in strongly for Oldham at almost all bookmakers, a sure sign of where the money is currently going.
Oldham are a mid-table side in decent form with 4 wins and only 1 loss from their previous 8 games. Plymouth are in the relegation zone and have been heavily fancied to head down to division 2 after the conclusion of the 2017/18 season. They are currently on a poor run of 4 losses out of their past 6 matches and their match against Oldham is unlikely to improve their fortunes!
Plymouth have faced some injury woes in recent time which is not contributing to their cause, recently needing to sign a 7th goalkeeper as their 4 first choice ones have all been injured. The injury crisis may be easing, but they are still without their first choice keeper which partly explains the dropping odds around the bookmaking world.
As I mentioned, odds have been dropping rapidly and so I would recommend a bet sooner rather than later, Pinbet88 is the best for odds, as well as the ability to utilise their very high limits, so I will be placing my bets there!
Man City - Tottenham
Betting Prediction: Man City -1 Asian Handicap
The big game in the Premiership this Saturday features Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur. The Sky Blues are unbeaten in the Premiership so far this season and have only dropped 2 points, almost certainly wrapping up the title before Christmas dinner has been served!
I cannot see a way that Spurs can get anything out of this game. They are simply no match for Man City player for player. While they are a free scoring team, the statistic that is probably most underappreciated from Man City's incredible start to the season is that they have the tightest defence in the Premiership having conceded only 11 goals.
The Citizens cruised to a 4-0 against Swansea and were even able to rest players while doing so. Jesus, Sane and Walker remained on the bench and will come back fresh for the weekend. Spurs do not have the luxury of resting players as every point is important in the race for Champion's League places. I expect City to go into this game with more energy.
I was surprised to see the price for the Sky Blues win as high as it is and expect it to drop before kick-off. By placing a bet on the -1 handicap with Pinnacle, you only lose if Man City fail to win. In my opinion a win by more than a goal is far more likely than no win at all for the Citizens.
Best price is at Pinnacle so I'll be placing my bets there!
Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots
Betting Prediction: Over 9.5 points 1st quarter
After a good win over the weekend with Newcastle Jets at Pinnacle for odds at 2.63, the tipping record now stands at 8 wins and 3 losses.
There isn't so much sport this week, so I am turning my attentions to the NFL and the game between Miami Dolphins and the New England Patriots, focusing on the points total for the first quarter, where I am tipping for that to be over 9.5 points.
The New England Patriots are a high scoring side, involved in high scoring games. Their games so far this season have averaged 57 points, which means almost 15 points per quarter. Drilling down to what has actually happened in the first quarter of the 12 games that they have played, there are averaging just over 10 points per first quarter, still above the 9.5 points on offer from Pinnacle. One of these 12 games happens to have been against the Miami Dolphins, where 14 points were scored, a great omen for this tip!
The Dolphins have been woeful this season when appearing in the featured TV game, losing all of their matches, in games where an average of well over 50 points have been scored. I fully expect another high scoring game where Miami have a chance to rescue their slim playoff hopes and the Patriots, on fire at the moment, will be keen to extend their winning run to 9.
On the balance of probabilities, the 1.847 on offer from Pinbet88 is overly generous so I recommend to take advantage of this price.
Perth - Newcastle Jets
Betting Prediction: Newcastle Jets to win
After a run of 7 straight winning tips, the run ended in a most spectacular fashion by the thrashing of Liverpool on Spartak Moscow on Wednesday night. However, form is still on my side as we head into the weekend and I am now looking at the Australian A-League where value is to be found in the form of the Newcastle Jets. My current record stands at 7 won, 3 lost.
Form-wise there is no comparison, Newcastle have won 5 of their 9 matches so far this season while Perth have the negatively mirror record of 5 losses from their 9. Despite losing their previous match against Melbourne City, a game in which they were largely dominant, they are riding high at second position in the league and won't want to concede any more ground to the league leaders.
Newcastle have the best away form in the league at the moment, with 3 wins out of 4 games with a goal difference of +5. An impressive start to the season and the visit to mid-table Perth will hold no fears. Equally they are the best attacking team in the league having scored 21 in their 9 games, against one of the worst defences, Perth, who have conceded 16, on a second worst record to bottom side Wellington.
This match is being priced up as a fairly even contest, according to the bookmaker, but I would have Newcastle as warm favourites for this. And it would be so, were it not for the fact that it is an away game.
Pinbet88 is where you will find the best odds today, and the best odds for many games often enough, so I'll be placing my bet there.
Liverpool - Spartak Moscow
Betting Prediction: Spartak +1.5 Asian Handicap
The final round of the Champions League group stage is on us and there is still all to play for in Group E, thanks to Liverpool surrendering a 3 goal lead against Sevilla.
Liverpool are very strong favourites at home against Spartak, but I think that their opposition have been somewhat underestimated. Whilst Liverpool are admittedly in great form, with 6 wins and 2 draws out of their last 8, they are still playing with somewhat of a makeshift defence with Can and Wijnaldum starting as centre backs. They remain without Matip and their defence should be tested against Spartak more than some of the opposition that they have faced in recent times (most of their wins have come against Premier League relegation contenders).
Spartak are on a great run of their own with 4 consecutive wins in their domestic league and are without the injury issues that would concern Liverpool fans.
It is quite hard to take anything from Champions League group form, with Liverpool thrashing lowly Maribor when Spartak struggled and when Spartak performed better than Liverpool did against Sevilla. Their one previous meeting ended in a very competitive 1-1 draw in Russia, although Liverpool did create plenty of chances that day.
Liverpool would be happy with the draw here, and may look to sit back and defend, especially with an early lead, hence my Spartak +1.5 tip. Best odds are at SBObet which is where I'll be betting!
Las Palmas - Real Betis
Betting Prediction: Betis +0,5 AH
Quique Setién was the coach of Las Palmas and he will try to win at home with Real Betis. He will also want to show the best version of his current team. Las Palmas is 19th with 7 points (0 draws, 1 win, 4 loses as a host) and 5 GF, 17 GA. Real Betis is 8th (1 win, 1 draw, 4 loses as a visitor) and 6 GF, 15 GA. Betis is not going through their best moment and the best players (Joaquin and Sanabria) have a moderate discomfort and, probably, they won't play in this match. However, the offensive line is not bad with Guardado, Sergio León or Tello. On the other hand, Las Palmas has to profit as a host because they have only won one match at home and won't have a better opportunity to win. We think that Las Palmas has to take risks to win and Betis could take advantage of the speed of the strickers Tello and Sergio León. Moreover, Las Palmas has a weak defence and Betis could break it easily. In addition, should Las Palmas score a goal, Betis could score too, because Las Palmas won't defend well. I believe that will be a crazy match and Betis will have the control and score two goals at least. From my point of view, the probabilities to win this bet (Betis +0,5 AH) are 70%. Good luck.
Rayo Vallecano - Granada
Betting Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win
Saturday's match welcomes Granada to Rayo Vallecano with 2 of the better teams in the Spanish La Liga 2 facing off against each other. Both teams are in fairly decent form, with Granada having 6 wins out of their previous 10 games and Vallecano only having lost twice in their last 10. Crucially though, Granada only have 1 win in their past 4 games, so their previous momentum has slowed down in the month of November.
I'm taking Vallecano to win this, mainly because of their fantastic recent home record, having won 4 and drawn 2 of their latest 6 matches. In a match between 2 good teams, confidence at home can often be the difference. Although Vallecano may have had a couple of draws at home recently, when you delve into the statistics, you will see that they were by far the dominant team, with much higher possession as well as shots on target...with a bit more luck these draws would have been home victories.
These 2 teams also have an interesting head to head record. Vallecano have won 4 of the previous 5 matches, with the remaining, most recent match, being a draw in Granada. Vallecano will certainly have the psychological edge.
The odds have been dropping for the home win at various bookmakers, with prices being taken at the betting exchanges. Best odds currently available are at Pinnacle, offering 2.04 which I calculate to be of slight value. Any odds above 1.95 should be taken.
Man City - Southampton
Betting Prediction: Southampton+2
Manchester City remain unbeaten in the Premier League this season but that record was surprisingly under threat on Sunday when they trailed away to Huddersfield. They came through it, but have a lot of games in the next few weeks, even before the heavy Christmas schedule arrives, so are likely to start rotating their squad. You may expect Vincent Kompany to take a break either in this game or the next, making their defence even weaker after the absences of Stones and Mendy.
They haven't quite the free scoring in recent times, compared with the start of the season, scoring 7 in their past 4 (1.75 goals per game) as opposed to the 48 in their previous 14 before that (3.4 goals per game), including all Premier League and Champions League games. They are still winning, but time is catching up.
Southampton are coming off a thrashing of Everton, where they completely dominated every aspect of the game, 67% possession, 17-5 attempts on goal and of course a 4-1 win. Whilst they aren't scoring much this season, they are a hard defence to break down, conceding only a goal per game in the Premier League.
All this leads me to expect a tighter game that you may expect, and indeed the bookmakers expect. The +2 handicap is a generous one, meaning that Southampton would need to lose by 3 clear goals for the bet to lose, something that looks unlikely. If I had to pick a score it would be 2-1 to Manchester City.
Best odds available here are with Matchbook at 2.02 so I will be placing my bets there!
Betting Prediction: Gimnástic to win
Gimnàstic Tarragona is on fire, their new coach Antonio Rodríguez "Rodri" has improved his team and nowadays is one of the most dangerous teams of Liga 1,2,3. However, Lorca is a weak team. Gimnástic Tarragona is 15th with 18 points (1 draw, 2 wins, 4 loses as a host). Lorca is 20th with 13 points (0 wins, 1 draw, 6 loses as a visitor).
Gimnàstic Tarragona has won their last two matches as a visitor, the last match as a local lost at the last minute (penalty) and the team improved the feelings. However, Lorca has not won a match as a visitor this season. In addition, Lorca has 2 significant losses in the defence (5 yellow cards) and I believe there will be some changes in their line up. Gimnástic Tarragona has potential to score and Lorca has poor defensive statistics as a visitor: 1 goal conceded in each match minimum. Gimnástic has to win because they didn't win last month as a local and Uche is one of the best strikers in this Liga 1,2,3 and I believe that he will destroy the weak defence of Lorca. If Gimnástic Tarragona scores a goal, we have good options to win our bet because their defence is so difficult to break and they have a good counterattack and they will score a second goal. From my point of view, the probabilities to win this bet (Nàstic to win @2,06) is 60%. Good luck.
Deportivo de la Coruña - Athletic Club de Bilbao
Betting Prediction: Over 2.25 goals
Both teams have weak defences (23 and 16 goals conceded respectively) and they will have significant losses for this match. However, their offenses are very good. Deportivo de la Coruña is 16th with 11 points (0 draws, 2 wins, 4 loses as a local) 15 GF 23 GA. Athletic Club is 15th with 12 points (1 win, 1 draw, 4 loses as a visitor) 12GF 16GA.
Both teams want to leave the dangerous zone and they need to win immediately. Deportivo de la Coruña is crazy and they allow easy scores with an extremely attack-minded team. Moreover, Deportivo de la Coruña is going through the best moment of the season. Athletic Club has played in the Europa League and they used their best players, so they will change the line-up and could be tired. However, Aduriz (the best striker of Athletic Club) and Lucas Pérez, who makes the difference in Deportivo de la Coruña, will play. Deportivo de la Coruña will play with intensity and they could cause an important physical wear to a tired Athletic Club, so they could break the defence easily. Athletic Club doesn't need many opportunities to score (córner, penalty, free kick...). From my point of view, the probability to win this bet (Deportivo de la Coruña - Athletic Club de Bilbao over 2.25 goals @1.84) is 65%. Good luck.
Juventus - Crotone
Betting Prediction: Juventus -2
Juventus face Crotone on Sunday night in what is a battle between the whale and the minnow. Despite the fact that Crotone are above the relegation zone, they are still fancied to go down in only their second season in Serie A.
Juventus are the leading scorers in Serie A, averaging almost 3 goals per game and have only lost at home once this season, against an in form Lazio. Any other result other than a home win in their match against Crotone would be a major shock. You have to go back to 2015 to find the last Juventus Serie A defeat before their game with Lazio! Juventus are scoring for fun in Serie A at the moment, with 16 in the past 5 games whilst averaging over 17 shots per game. It seems unlikely that Crotone will be able to contain them, especially the prolific Higuain who has scored 6 goals in the past 5 appearances.
Crotone's away form has been poor so far this season, conceding 15 goals in 6 games, almost 3 per game. Their mentality is to defend in numbers and hope to scrape a draw, a tactic unlikely to work against Juventus. They are far from prolific in front of goal having scored more than 1 goal only 4 times this season, and only once against a team in the top half of Serie A.
I'm tempted to tip the -2.5 line at 2.29, but have gone with the safety of -2, with Pinbet offering the best odds available at 1.8.
Napoli - Shakhtar Donetsk
Betting Prediction: Napoli -1.5
There is no hiding the fact that this has been a terrible Champions League campaign for Napoli. They would have come into the competition with high hopes, but have only 1 win so far out of 4 matches against bottom side Feyenoord. They can, however, still qualify, but they simply must win against Shakhtar, and if they are able to win by 2 clear goals, then the goal difference is back in their favour, so they will be going all guns blazing for the win that they need.
This is the second meeting between these 2 teams this year, and although Shakhtar won 2-1 at home, they were far from dominant. Napoli had more shots on goal, more shots on target and greater ball possession. Simply put, they were the better team and were unlucky to lose. I expect them to right this wrong.
Napoli's league form is fantastic, they are currently leading Serie A and have only dropped 4 points from 13 games. They are also scoring freely, averaging close to 3 goals per game...their league form has to translate into the Champions League sooner or later.
Shakhtar on the other hand have won only 1 of the last 4 league games, so form is slightly patchy against far inferior opposition than Napoli.
Neither team has any injury worries of note, Napoli are coming off a great win against AC Milan whilst Shakhtar were defeated by Oleksandriya. Pinnacle are the stand out price for this. The -1.5 market with odds at 2.29, which I think is great value!
Betting Prediction: Carreño to win
Nothing critical over the table in the match between Grigor Dimitrov and Pablo Carreño Busta. Carreño cannot get to the semifinal even if he wins in straight sets. For Dimitrov, although winning this match would provide him with an extra monetary reward and 200 ATP points, he has already achieved a spot in the semis against Jack Sock and I don't think he is going to play to the limit. He won't push too much physically and mentally. Carreño, on the other hand, showed a very good level against Dominique Thiem and wasn't too far away from the victory. I think he will fight to the end to get what would be his first victory in his first participation in the London World Tour Finals. Having said this, I think the Bulgarian is the favourite to win this match. He's playing awesomely and is in great form. But odds on Carreño are too high and I think the market has overreacted to the great state of form of Dimitrov. In my opinion, if you are already qualified you do not deserve such high odds against a dangerous rival like the Spaniard.
New Zealand - Fiji
Betting Prediction: Fiji +14.5
We are into the quarter finals of the Rugby League World Cup and New Zealand face Fiji for the first time in their history. 10 years ago this match would be considered as a walkover for New Zealand but times have changed.
New Zealand are a shadow of their former selves and suffered a shocking defeat at the hands of Tonga in the group stages. Fiji, on the other hand, cruised through their group, thrashing each of the sides they came up against and will be more confident than ever before. They have averaged over 50 points per game so far, making them is the highest scoring team in the tournament. New Zealand are going to find it difficult to contain them.
The Fijian side is packed with players participating in the best league in the world, the NRL, including superstar Jaryyd Hayne (who has played Rugby Union, American Football and Rugby League professionally!). They possess great attacking flair, combined with the size and skill of Melbourne Storm's Suliasi Vunivalu, one of the players of the tournament so far. This is not to say they will have it easy and New Zealand are still strong favourites for a reason, I just suspect that the scoreline will be a lot closer than the odds are suggesting.
Taking the handicap gives some room to manoeuvre and the best odds around are at SBObet who are offering a great price on the +14.5 handicap. This is going to be an interesting high-scoring game!
Nigeria - Argentina
Betting Prediction: Nigeria +1
As a warm up to the World Cup in 2018, Russia are launching the World Cup Trophy tour, kicking off with the friendly match between Nigeria and Argentina in Krasnodar. Both teams have already qualified for the World Cup.
The 2 most important pieces of team news are that Mikel Obi, Nigeria's captain, returns after being rested, but far more importantly, Lionel Messi will not play. As well as being arguably the best player in the world, Messi has a huge influence on whether Argentina win matches. How about these stats: during Argentina's World Cup 2018 campaign, in matches where Messi did not play, Argentina only won 1/9 (11%), when he did play they won 6/9 (66%). Having Messi in the team in the last 2 years has almost been the difference between winning and losing.
It isn't all about Messi however. Nigeria are in great form having gone through African World Cup qualifying unbeaten. They are going to be supremely confident of causing an upset against one of the favourites to win the World Cup and will be eager to show their form.
Nigeria will be confident of their chances in what is likely to be a low scoring game. The odds have been coming in everywhere on either Nigeria to win, or both teams to draw. SBObet have your best odds at the moment with 1.9 on the +1 handicap. I just cannot see Argentina winning by 2 clear goals without Messi in their starting line-up.
Nadal - Goffin
Betting Prediction: Goffin to win
After the knee problems that forced Nadal to withdraw from the Paris Masters 1000 tournament a few days ago, we still don't know how his knee is going to respond in the last event of the season against a tough player like Goffin, who is going to take the Spaniard to the limit. This is what he said in London: "Hopefully the knee is good. I've done everything I've needed to do in order to get ready for London. Now it's the moment to wait and practice at the O2 over the next couple of days. Let's see if I am able to be 100 per cent to compete. If nothing happens, then I will play. I visited my doctors after the Paris Masters - it was a tough day for me having to pull out of Paris. Pulling out of any tournament in the world is tough, but pulling out of the city of Paris is especially tough for me. That's how it is. I went back home and visited the doctors to do some treatment. I expect the treatment to work and be ready for here. I know I'm confident because I'm having a great season with one event to go. I am here to try my best." Under these circumstances I don't think Nadal should be priced so low (and therefore Goffin so high). The Belgian is a consistent player who makes very few errors and runs for every ball and if Nadal is not at his best, Goffin can perfectly well beat him. 4.16 is a god price in my opinion to look for the surprise in a tournament that Nadal has never won.
Barcelona B - Huesca
Betting Prediction: Over 2,5 goals
Barcelona B and Huesca have a very good offense and weak defence. Huesca is second with 23 points (3 draws, 1 win, 2 loses as a visitor) and 17 goals for to 9 goals against. Barcelona B is 13th (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 loses as a host) and 16 goals for to 15 goals against. Huesca has a great potential in its offensive line with Vadillo, Cucho, Melero, who make the difference in Second Division. In fact, Melero and Cucho Hernandez are the top scoring attack in Europe. Moreover, this couple has a big partner: Álvaro Vadillo (one of the best players in this Liga 1,2,3). Huesca has a high quality and verticality in his offensive line while the defence of Barcelona B is slow and weak. However, Barcelona B has José Arnáiz, Choco Lozano and Aleña, all of them members of the first team and they can unbalance the match. In addition, Barcelona B has the best player (with Aleñà), Ruiz de Galarreta, available, who has experience in Second Division. Barcelona B increases its potential when he plays. My prediction is based that both teams will score a goal and it will probably be a crazy match, without control with the defences losing against the offenses. From my point of view, the probabilities to win this bet (Barcelona B - Huesca Over 2.5 goals) is 65%.
Córdoba - Osasuna
Betting Prediction: Osasuna +0,25
Two traditional clubs of Spain will play one of the most interesting matches of this weekend in La Liga 1,2,3. Córdoba is 21st with 10 points (1 draw, 2 wins, 3 loses as a host). Osasuna is fifth (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 lost as a visitor). Córdoba have changed their coach two weeks ago (Juan Merino is the new one), but they haven't improved the results and its offensive balance is poor: In the last match (Lorca 1 - Córdoba 0) they finished the match with 2 shots on target (Lorca is a weak team, promoted this year). However, Osasuna will try to move into the first division, has signed First Division players and its offensive line is dangerous with Xisco Jiménez, Quique, David Rodríguez. Moreover, Fran Mérida as an offensive midfielder making a difference and he is on fire. So I believe that Osasuna is the favourite in this match. If the result is not good for Córdoba (loss or draw), the hooligans could be nervous and the match will be aggressive, low speed, low number of goals , so I think that could be good if we "protect" the draw. For this reason I bet on Osasuna +0.25. From my point of view, the probabilities to win this bet (Osasuna +0.25) is 75%. Good luck.
Guida - Lauzon
Betting Prediction: Guida to win
Sunday's fight between 2 veterans of the sport, Clay Guida and Joe Lauzon, promises to be a close affair. Early prices had Lauzon as a slight favourite but this is now being corrected and the money is slowly starting to move on Guida which is often a sign of who to bet on.
Guida has an overall record of 33 wins to 17 losses while Lauzon counts 27 wins to 13 losses. It is a comparable record, and both of their recent form is mixed, as you would expect for fighters coming to the end of their career. The difference, however, is really in the quality of the fighters whom they have come up against in recent bouts. Guida's losses have been against top fighters like former champion Benson Henderson as well as contender Gray Maynard. Lauzon's recent fights have been against far less impressive competitors.
One interesting fact is that, of the last 7 fights of Lauzon that have gone the distance, 5 have ended in defeat with only a couple of victories. On the other hand Guida has a positive record of 6-3 from his fights that have gone the distance, and odds are strongly suggesting that this fight will last the full 3 rounds (Matchbook price is currently trading at 1.54). Guida is a warrior with great stamina!
Best odds for Guida are currently with SBObet and I'd expect them to lower the price before the fight starts. Anything above 1.8ish is value and so SBObet's price is a good one.
Bublik - Moutet
Betting Prediction: Moutet +0 1st set handicap
SBObet are out of line with their price on this market and you should take advantage of this. Moutet is favourite to win the match everywhere (SBObet included), and so should be favourite to win the first set, instead SBObet offer 1.92 for each player to win that first set. While the odds are offered as a handicap, you are essentially betting on which player will win the set. There is a clear price advantage here.
Other bookmakers are showing interest on Moutet to win the match, with odds already moving at a couple of UK bookmakers and exchanges and I suspect that the price will drop when the match approaches. Best price available anywhere on this market is at SBObet.
As for player form, Moutet won a challenger in France a couple of weeks ago and also reached the quarter final last week, beating former top 50 player Lucas Lacko along the way. He is currently ranked at a career high of 155, having steadily risen up the rankings in the last few months. I'd expect him to be looking to break into the top 100 at the start of next year.
Bublik has had some good wins too, but some bad losses as well. Although he is ranked above Moutet at 115, that ranking has dropped from a high of 95 in recent time, showing a slight lack of form compared to his younger opponent. I expect it to be a fairly close match, but the value has to be with Moutet, given the prices available on the match odds market.
Verdasco - Sock
Betting Prediction: Verdasco to win
The Spaniard Fernando Verdasco seems to be in great form in this indoor season. Two weeks ago in Stockholm, he got to the semi-finals and was very close to beating Juan Martin Del Potro. This week he has defeated strong rivals such as Kevin Anderson or Dominic Thiem. Verdasco is being very solid on his serve. He's served in 39 games and has only lost his serve 4 times. Jack Sock, on the other hand, is having many physical issues in this final stage of the season. Against Kyle Edmund, in his first match of the tournament, he was very close to defeat when he was trailing 5-1 in the decider. However, even though he had the physio out twice due to a back issue, he came back and managed to beat the British. In his next match against Pouille, he benefited from a thigh problem of the French player, who could not be competitive. Therefore, the 7-6, 6-3 is a bit misleading. In my opinion, Verdasco is the clear favorite. He's been playing great lately and I can see him punishing Sock's backhand with his explosive left drive. When Verdasco feels good with high confidence he is a really difficult rival to beat. I think Sock's run in this tournament is very likely to finish here.
Huesca - Zaragoza
Betting Prediction: Zaragoza +0,5
This match is one of the most important derbies in Spain. Huesca is fifth with 20 points (2 draws, 4 wins, 0 loses as a host) and Zaragoza is eleventh (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 loses as a visitor). Huesca has a big potential in its offensive line with Vadillo, Cucho, Melero... With their high quality and verticality, it is a dangerous team and they’ll try to destroy the big wall of Zaragoza. Zaragoza is a solid team, and it does have top players of the Second Division like Borja Iglesias, Toquero, Zapater, Alain, Javi Ros, Papu... Nacho González, who was the coach of Reus, has found in Zaragoza the offensive quality and the strong defence system and, moreover, his offense has a big potential. I believe that the match will have intensity, with some cards and respect. In an even game, Zaragoza has more quality in his offensive line and at any time they can score. Moreover, a draw could be a good result for both teams, so Zaragoza +0.5 increases its value. My prediction is based that Huesca will score 0 to 1 goal and Zaragoza will score as well, so Zaragoza must steal points in this match. From my point of view, the probabilities to win this bet (Zaragoza +0.5 to 1.86) is 70%.