MB

Hi, I’m MB!
Founder of www.underdogchance.com and sports betting entrepreneur.

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I am MB and I will share some of my NHL and MLB predictions with you. Sports betting is part of my life since 1998 and during these years I made every possible mistake, that you can make. But I also learned from my mistakes and after many years, I found the way how to make a living in sports betting world.

One part of my incomes in a sports betting world is also betting on sports.

I spend hours and hours researching the games. I create predictive models, where I estimate my odds and then I compare those odds with bookmakers odds. Analytics is most important for successful betting, bookmakers are smarter and smarter and it is almost not possible to beat them anymore with intuition or gut feeling. Experience, love for the sports, so-called good information are nice, but to be successful in sports betting world, we need to exclude emotions and stick with the facts. And analytics is all about the facts. All my bets are based on my predictive models.

I will share some of my NHL and MLB predictions with you.

MLB – baseball is the sports with the most games in one regular season (2430). The season starts on April every year and ends in October. This is the time, where I analyse and project my winning percentages for every single game.
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I usually wait first 30 days to get the first picture of new season and then I start using my math model. With my math model I project my own odds. Those odds are then compared with bookmakers odds. When I see, that my odds are different than bookmakers odds, I make extra research and select the best plays. I pay special attention to pitchers, bullpens, situational hitting and current form. Majority of my bets are moneyline bets. I rarely play totals and run-lines.

NHL – When the baseball season ends, my NHL season starts and this is how I cover whole year with betting. Every team in NHL plays 82 games and the season ends on April. I use my predictive model to calculate my own odds and then I compare those odds with bookmakers odds. I pay special attention to goalies, offensive strength and schedule. Majority of my bets are moneyline bets. I rarely play totals and puck-lines.

Money management is one of the most important things when it comes to successful betting. Many bettors will lose all their money just because they have poor strategy.
I use adjusted kelly criterium to calculate the risk. Most of my bets are between 1-2% of my bankroll. I never every play more than 5% of my bankroll and this is very rare play, which almost never happens. I highly recommend, that you follow all my picks posted here with 1% of your current bankroll.

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