Let’s discuss about a very interesting confrontation for the 13th round of the Australian Women’s championship. We will travel to a place with the exotic name of Woy Woy and it’s Oval Stadium where on January 26 at 6:00 GMT, the Central Coast Mariners will host Wellington Phoenix. This one promises a good payout on all outcomes.
From the middle to the top
10 rounds before the end of the road for the season, the hosts are 6th on the table with the visitors on 5th. That’s semantically speaking, since they both have 16 points and the classification is based on the one goal of difference in favor of Wellington. However, the numbers show quite a different path to get there.
The home team have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses so far, while, the Phoenix count 5 victories, a single tie and 5 defeats. 14-12 and 15-12 are the goals scored and conceded respectively. In the last five the record has only one different thing to show. A win for Wellington vs a draw for the Mariners. The rest of it says 2 wins and 2 losses each.
It’s not just tight
Take a look at the set of odds for the various markets:
- Win for the hosts: @2.26
- Win for the visitors: @3.010
- Draw: @3.48
- Over 2.5 goals: @1.92
- Goals scored between 2 and 3: @2.04
This one is a rich event for the bettors! In fact, the draw is a quite possible result and it pays the best of them all.
They are after the same goals
Let’s take a look at the incentives. Melbourne City lead the board with 25 points with an undefeated record. 5 teams follow within a 5-point margin which means that wins are worth their weight in gold! If either side emerges victorious from this one, it would mean a leap to the 4th position if not the 3rd. And, since it is quite possible that Central Coast will defeat Sydney FC and Wellington will prevail over the Newcastle Jets, in the in-between matches that they have to play, it could even mean a jump to 2nd.
Considering that the Mariners have already gotten a 2-2 draw against the league leaders on their away match (Phoenix lost 2-1) and that the second legs are both to be fought at home, they have a good chance of catching up. In any case, a lot will depend on the matches of Brisbane Roar, Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United. At this time, they are the ones holding the key for the proceedings.
Update
Things have changed radically on this one. Wellington drew 0-0 against Sydney FC and won over Macarthur by 2-1, while Central Coast suffered a 4-1 humiliation also at the hands of Sydney FC and then returned with a 3-1 victory over Western Sydney. Now, instead of 5 and 6 they have both dropped to 9th and 10th position respectively, while Adelaide is now at the top, followed by Auckland and Melbourne City. Effectively the two sides are just above the relegation zone (safe for the time being).
The odds have changed significantly
The @2.26 for the win of the home team is now @2.28, so not much there. However, the previous offer of @3,01 has been reduced to @2.86. The draw now gets @3.64. The price for 2 to 3 goals scored also dropped to @1.85. In fact, the highest payouts now lie only in the 1X2 market.
We will base our suggestion for this one on the history between the two. In matches held at Wellington, the last win of Central Coast dates back to 2022. In the 3 remaining ones there have been 2 draws and a win for Phoenix.
It is rather unusual, but we have a strong feeling that this one is going to end in a draw too. So, if you are willing toopen an account at the best betting platform , then we recommend a bet for a draw at @3.64.