The Valorant Champions Tour is a very very important event in the world of e-sports. Therefore, we will devote a second tip on the occasion. This time we will discuss about the Pacific branch of the tour. The location is the S Factory Tower in Seoul, South Korea, the kick off time is 10:00 AM GMT and the date is Feb 18. Again, it’s group B and its opening matches. The winners of the two opening events will fight it out with each other for the team that will qualify for the next stage. One of those is the confrontation of Team Secret vs Talon Esports.
Team Secret
They come from the Philippines and they are included in the region of Oceania. The five to begin are:
- Noel De Guia – «NDG» ACS: 211.9, Kills: 0.77, Death: 0.62, Kill Cost: 4672
- Jeremy Cabrera – «JRemy» ACS:214.4, Kills: 0.73, Death: 0.73, Kill Cost: 4763
- Jiggs Adrian Reyes – «Invy» ACS: 204.5, Kills: 0.73,Death: 0.69, Kill Cost: 4904
- Jim Timbreza – «Borkum» ACS: 184.8, Kills: 0.64, Death: 0.67, Kill Cost: 5445
- Jessie Cristy Cuyco – «JessieVash» ACS: 180.0, Kills: 0.62, Death: 0.66, Kill Cost: 5589
In the Predator League a month ago they scored 3 wins and brought the trophy home along with 65,000 US dollars. The team averages are: ACS: 162.6, Kills: 3.4, Death: 3.43, Kill Cost: 5129.
Talon Esports
These guys are from Thailand, which makes their base region to be Asia. The five players to start are:
- Thanachart Rungarphajaratsakul – «Surf» ACS: 243.4, Kills: 0.87, Death: 0.74, Kill Cost: 4275
- Jittana Nokngam – «Jitboy5» ACS: 193.8, Kills: 0.70, Death: 0.66, Kill Cost: 4766
- Peter No – «Governor» ACS: 214.9, Kills: 0.65, Death: 0.62, Kill Cost: 5171
- Lionel Lim – «LenNe» ACS: 139.7, Kills: 0.47, Death: 0,59, Kill Cost: 6231
- Thanamethk Mahatthananuyut – «Crws» ACS: 189.0, Kills: 0.64, Death: 0.69, Kill Cost: 4268
On the average we have: ACS: 111.3, Kills: 3.51, Death: 3.45 and a Kill Cost of 5024.
Odds of value
The stats on Team Secret vs Talon Esports do not justify the odds that are available for the confrontation. Which translates to a high probability that people can place bets with real value. We have a team that has taken a title home against a newbie with a 50%-win record. Yet, the latter enjoy a slight advantage with a price of @1.857 for a win, when the Filipinos get @1.929! It just doesn’t make sense! We don’t even have a home field advantage here as the match is held in Korea. The prices that do make sense are the @1.944 and @1.845 offered for an over/under 2.5 handicap.
Update
It would appear that our initial evaluation for odds of value due to miscalculation was quite correct. However, it also looks like the bookmakers did their homework again and adjusted their prices. Team Secret now get @1.722 instead of @1.857, while Talon Esports are given @1.945 instead of @1.929. Unfortunately, the offers that we initially thought that made sense for the over/under 2.5 handicap, have also dropped to @1.769 and @1.900.
It’s going to be a 2-1 score
In a previous tip we used the expression «all other things being equal». Basically, this is the case for this one as well. Everything points to a tough equal fight between two top equal sides. Therefore, it doesn’t make sense to bet on a win for either side. Not even for those punters that prefer to hedge their bets on arbitrage.
There’s only one market that makes sense and still affords a motive for decent winnings. And that’s the one that says that it will be the third map that will decide the outcome of the battle. Therefore, we will recommend an over 2.5 maps at @1.883. It has a 49% probability and promises a decent return of the investment.
Now that you do have our final suggestion for this confrontation, it’s time to open a Betspider account place a wager and wait for the money that will come your way. Sometimes, the safer option is the best one. It’s as simple as that.