Usually, all eyes are focused on the Champions League for the men. However, there is an equally important and just as interesting competition for the ladies. In fact, this year we have a confrontation in the semi-finals that involves two teams of the same country. Paris St Germaine and Olympique Lyonnais will fight it out for a place at the final and the trophy itself. In this discussion, we will talk about the second leg to be held at Stade Georges Lefevre on April 28 at 14:00 GMT.
There is a reason that we have selected the second leg. The visitors have won all four of the last encounters between the two teams. And all four with 1 goal of difference (0-1 on 01/10/23, 0-1 on 21/05/23, 0-1 on 29/05/22 and 1-2 on 30/04/22), regardless of which competition these matches were played for.
UCLW PSG vs LYON history
A second reason that we chose this match to ponder on, is that it will be the second time in the recent years that the two will face each other for the top European competition. The previous time, it was for the knock out stage and the outcomes were 2 victories for the Lyonnais with 3-2 at home and 2-1 away.
So, what we have here is a strong motive for the hosts! They need to end the streak of their opponents at their own home ground, and they have to get on an even path as far as the confrontations for the champions league are concerned. Similarly, we have an equally potent motive for the visitors. Win this one and establish a psychological superiority over their opponents.
This one is not about who will win
That is, as far as the bettors are concerned. The prices for 1X2 are rather dry and for us unjustified. However, we have an eye on a very lucrative market for an Asian over 2.75 goals, offered at @1.909. Both previous matched involved 5 and 3 goals respectively. In fact, with a bit of luck we can even risk an Asian over 3 goals scored at an even better price of @2.178.
Of course, a lot will depend on the result of the first leg to be played on April 20. Firstly, we do not believe that it will provide a decisive advantage for either side. Secondly, a number of key players from both sides are at the verge of reaching the limits on yellow cards and, therefore, could be banned from participating into the second leg. Such a happenstance will change the balance between the two drastically.
It’s a confrontation of its own
Meaning that it’s the story behind it that is of importance and not any other circumstances. Just like matches between long rivals have a soul of its own, so does this one. Which makes it ideal for objective punters to target for some quite decent return of their investment.
Update
The first leg of this semi-final ended with an unusual outcome. Everyone expected a low scoring tight match. Instead, they got a 3-2 win for the Lyonnais. It’s a result that left all the doors open for the 2nd leg, since the old rule for the away goals is no longer in effect. Just a 1-0 in regulation for PSG will be enough to take the confrontation to overtime, and if no goals are scored there, to a penalty shootout.
What puzzles us, is the thinking behind the current offers of an average of @1.78 for a second win for Olympique, while the odds for the home side have gone up to @4.70. We completely disagree with that assessment. In our opinion, PSG will score the goal they need to tie it up. Perhaps the explanation can be found in the offers for over 2.5 goals which run at this time at @1.91, as well as those for both teams to score at @1.86. It would seem that the teams determining the prices expect a score in the vicinity of 2-1 for either side.
We will not suggest a safe bet for this one. Instead, we are going all out for the win for PSG during regulation time. Risky yes, but quite justifiable if we are to look at the performances of the two sides. If it also sounds to you that it’s a risk worth taking, then just register for an account at the best betting platform and reap the benefits.