To the land down under we go where at 5:00 GMT of Nov 30, at the Central Coast Stadium in Gosford, New South Wales, Australia, the local Mariners will host Canberra United for the Australian Women A-League. It is still early in the tournament as it is just the 4th round, however, there’s enough information to say that this one is going to be very interesting.
The standings do not matter.
Melbourne City lead the table at 7 points. Then we have 4 teams (Canberra being one of them) at 6, followed by Central Coast at 5. Before hosting United, the Mariners have a quite important match to play against Melbourne Victory, currently 2nd on the table. The match that the visitors have to play in-between, is against second to last Perth Glory and they will win it, one way or another. Therefore, the hosts stand to lose valuable ground if they do not take advantage of their home field and emerge victorious at the end of both encounters.
Canberra is under a lot less pressure than their opponents. The only question to be answered is how well the Mariners can handle the pressure even at this early stage. While there’s plenty of time to recover, if they do not handle this set of matches well, then, in all likelihood, their season will not see them meeting their objectives. On the bright side here, we have the quite unexpected result that the hosts achieved last week with a 2-2 draw at an away game against the league leaders.
Records and prices
2 wins and a loss for the visitors, 1 victory and 2 draws for the hosts, 4-4 and 5-3 the goals respectively, are the numbers so far. On both previous encounters between the two sides, Central Coast won by 4-1 and 3-0. So, we have here an established pattern. Based on this information, it is understandable to offer @1.982 for the hosts and @2.087 for the visitors, with the draw getting a @4.130. Interesting markets to wait for are the over/under and handicaps where the odds at this time are given at an average of @2.00.
It is more than likely that these prices will change next week. Especially if the outcomes of the matches in-between are not the expected ones.
Update
The conditions at the standings became a bit clearer after the results of the last matches for the two opponents of this one. Canberra are 4th at 7 points after the 1-1 draw against Perth Glory, while Central Coast are 6th at 6 points. They also drew against Melbourne Victory by the same score. In other words, there is still 1 point of difference between the 2. However, the distance to the top increased to 2 and 3 points respectively. Now, both sides are under equal pressure.
A dramatic change in the prices for the Central Coast Mariners vs Canberra United
There is no more @1.982 for the hosts. It has dropped to @1.587. That number does not make sense to us. Similarly, the offer for United went up from @2.087 to @4.938. Just as incomprehensibly. The difference between the two sides does not justify this much of a gap between the prices. The offer for @1.966 for over 3 goals is totally unreasonable, while the @1.824 for under is just not good enough.
This leaves only 1 market with a decent chance of success and an equal profitability. The Asian handicap of -1 for Central Coast. The payout is at @1.966 and it is quite within reason for the hosts to win by a 2-goal margin. Basically, this also makes for our proposal for a bet on this encounter. Now, it’s time for you to open an account at the best betting platform and put it to good use.