Now that Australian Rules Football has been added to the sports that people can place a bet on through VIP-IBC’s platform, it’s time to start adding tips for the Australian Football League. And for this one we have chosen a most interesting match. At Marvel Stadium on Apr 12 at 6:15 GMT, the local Bulldogs will host the Lions of Brisbane. Typically, it will be for the 6th round of the championship.
What do the numbers say for Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions
The visitors are currently third after 3 matches (the one against Geelong has been postponed). So far, they have a flawless record of three consecutive wins accumulating 12 points, a +32 on their differential and a PCT of 114.68. On the other hand, the hosts, are currently 6th with 8 points, +18 and 107.26 respectively. And here comes the first motive to think about.
A win for the Bulldogs will not only mean that they will reach their opponents at 3rd. It would also mean that they would have the advantage having won the confrontation between the two sides. A similar incentive is at hand for the Lions. Since they are tied with Adelaide, they will have to win if they want to keep up with them and remain on the hunt of Hawthorn, league leaders with 16 points and an equally flawless record. Interestingly, in a pre-season match, the Bulldogs defeated Hawthorn by 77-66.
It’s still too early to discuss details
In a match of Australian Rules Football, we would usually consider the things that matter like the kicks, the handballs, the disposals, the marks, the hit-outs, the frees, the goals and the behinds. However, it’s still too early to make a sound judgement on how effective the two teams are. Hence, we will base out considerations on the motives. We quite disagree with the current offers of @1.80 for the visitors and @2.40 for the hosts.
We will wait to see the performances of the Bulldogs against Freemantle and the Lions against Richmond before making our final recommendation. Of course, we will also wait for the prices of other markets to show up.
Update
The anticipated in-between matches did indeed change a lot. The Bulldogs suffered yet another defeat at the hands of Fremantle by 97-81, while the Lions prevailed over Richmond with 118-90. Now the odds have changed rather drastically. The initial offers for @2.40 for the hosts and @1.80 for the visitors are now @2.68 and @1.55 respectively.
The Lions seem to have the advantage
But we tend to think a bit differently. Except the last encounter on Jun 07 2024 (114-71 in favor if the visitors), whenever the two sides fought at the Marvel Stadium the Bulldogs have prevailed every time since 2014. It looks to us like the perfect opportunity for the hosts to begin getting their season back on track.
Under this context, stats, numbers, performances, do not matter. What matters is the belief that things can change after a victory in this match. What matters is the will to get out of the middle of the table and the 10th place. What matters is the ability to react under pressure and get back on course.
Therefore, we are going to risk it an try a bet on the win of the Western Bulldogs. If you share our mind then it’s time to go open an account at the best betting platform, if you have not done so already, and follow our recommendation.