Usually, we do not suggest matches from the European Championships, but this one is a special case. For the Women’s competition of the Champions League, we have the two semi-finals. The interesting part is that we may see two English teams at the final since Arsenal are playing on the first one and Chelsea on the other. The first of the two legs for the Gunners will be played at Meadow Park on April 19 at 11:30 GMT.
The French look better but is it indeed so?
Lyon rampaged over Bayern with 2 wins and a total of 6 goals scored vs 1 conceded (2-0 and 4-1). On the other hand, Arsenal managed to go through after losing in Spain to Real Madrid on the first leg, with 3-2 on aggregate (0-2 and 3-0). These outcomes seem to indicate that the French are in a better form. However, if we are to add some more results, then the conclusion may be a little different.
Lyon defeated Fleury by 4-0 and Saint Etienne by 5-0. At the same time, Arsenal scored 4 against Crystal Palace and another 4 against Liverpool. Given that the level of women’s football is rather higher in the UK, while both teams seem unstoppable, the results seem to indicate a higher effectiveness for the Gunners.
Odds that do not make sense
At this time the offers say @1.95 for the visitors and @3.53 for the hosts. We quite disagree with this assessment. The British are much more of a formidable opponent than what the odds seem to indicate. Not to mention that they tend to negate the home field advantage which is a rather peculiar decision. The prices for +5 and -5 for Asian handicaps are at @1.86 and @1.96 which are far more reasonable.
The Gunners will need to host Leicester City before the French, while Lyon will play at home against Paris. If everything goes well, they will play each other at high spirits.
Update
It cannot be argued that things went as expected for the French. The 2-2 draw against Paris has surely dampened Lyon’s spirits. On the other hand, the Gunners launched another one of their usual, lately, heavy artillery barrages literally destroying Leicester City by 5-1.
It’s incomprehensible
A week ago, it was @3.53 for Arsenal and @1.95 for Lyon. Now, it’s @3.60 and @1.94 respectively. The quite possible result of a draw pays at @3.66. The rest of the offers for this match are not worthy to talk about. Between @1.88 and @1.98 at best. Correct score 1-0 for Arsenal at @12.18. A 0-0 draw at @12.18. 0-1 at @7.81. It’s absurd how convinced they are about Lyon’s advantage.
We really do not understand this. Olympique is not so much better than their opponents as these odds suggest. They are seriously underestimating a team that has been strong enough to make it all the way to the semi-finals! Not to mention the power of the home field! Arsenal have kept 4 clean sheets in the last 7 games. They scored 3 against a team of the likes of Real Madrid. The odds above say that they will lose with 3 or 4 goals of difference.
We just don’t see it happening. So, we will advise on a wager for the Arsenal win to those that will dare to open an account at the best betting platform and take advantage of such a badly considered situation.