The English League 1 presents a quite interesting set of matches lately. With a great potential for profit, we could but keep an eye for an intriguing confrontation. On Sep 20 at 11:30 GMT, the Bolton Wanderers will be waiting at the Toughsheet Community Stadium, for Wigan’s Athletic for a battle that may lead to more than just points.
Small details between the two
The table may show the hosts as 10th and the visitors as 14th, however, they are actually 10th and 11th. That’s because it’s 3 teams at 10 points (Bolton, Mansfield and Leyton Orient) and another three at 9 (Exeter, Wigan, Wimbledon). The difference between the two sides that we are discussing today is a draw vs a defeat. The record for the Wanderers says 2 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, while the respective numbers for Athletic are 2 victories, 3 ties and 2 defeats. 9-6 and 10-9 the goals for and against, for each team.
If they win, the hosts can climb up to the 7th place right behind Barnsley. Interestingly, it may also be the 7th (most likely the 8th) for the visitors, given that it will be three teams at 12 (they have a worse differential than Luton Town). It may still be only the 9th round of the championship, but, it has already shown that the clubs must fight for every point.
It’s so close, it’s confusing
@2.35 for the Wanderers, @2.51 for Athletic. Those are the prices at this time for the match. The bookmakers can only award a slight home field advantage to the hosts, but no more than that. The quite likely outcome of a draw pays at @3.50. If someone bets that only one of the two will score, then they will get paid at @2.21. However, if they bet that there will be a total between 2 and 3 goals on this one, then the price is @2.00 (on a result that will probably negate the previous market).
Those offers indicate that even the experienced price setters cannot decide yet on which team enjoys a clear advantage. Which means that we will have to keep an even closer eye than we usually do on the developments on this encounter, so that when we bring the update next week to those that will open an account at the best betting platform, we will be able to offer a reasonable recommendation.
Update
Things have changed drastically after the results of round 8. Wigan, after their 3-0 win over Doncaster Rovers jumped all the way up to 8th place with 12 points, leaving Bolton one behind as the Wanderers travelled to Leyton Orient and only managed to get a 1-1 draw. That outcome dropped to the 12th spot of the table.
It’s do or die now
A win for the hosts can only get them above their opponents and grab at 8th place, while the victory for the visitors will mean another jump to possibly the 6th spot, assuming that both Lincoln and Huddersfield will lose their upcoming matches. Considering that their morale is now at the highest point, the offer of @4.92 for their win is way too high.
Similarly, the price of @1.77 for the hosts is way too low. Even more so, the draw at @3.71 (a quite possible outcome), is unrealistically high. In general, it seems that the evaluators did not consider all aspects on this one and offered bets of quite some value. We will suggest a risk on this one. If you want to see some good profits, after, of course,opening an account at the best betting platform, then opt for the win of Wigan Athletic on this encounter. It seems like a more probable result.