The small Södertälje Fotbollsarena (capacity just 8,500) will host the match for the 2nd Division of Swedish football between the home team Assyriska FF and the visitors of Sollentuna, on Jun 23 at 15:00 GMT. For both it’s one of the last chances to accomplish their season goals.
Assyriska vs Sollentuna – far from optimal
The hosts are 5th with 20 points, 13 behind the league leaders Umea (at 33). However, they have one less match and they seem to be on the ascendancy having won their last 2 after a 3-match loss streak. On the other hand, the visitors are down to the 11th just 3 points above the relegation zone with a game more than the opposition for survival.
Apparently, both enjoy serious motivation to win. Karlstad is waiting for Assyriska to fullfill the obligation of the missing match and a lot depends on the outcome of that confrontation. Similarly, Sollentuna will play against Dalkurd. However, this match is for the Swedish Cup and will have no bearing on the league, unless players get injured.
The head-2-head comparison
Since 2017, 4 matches have been recorded with Assyriska as hosts. 3 wins and 1 loss is the record. However, 2 of the victories have 4 goals to show in favor of the home team. With the performances that both sides have displayed thus far, we have a team that scores (24 in favor) more than their opponents (17) and concede less (25 vs 28). The interpretation of the numbers gives out no reason to suspect that Assyriska will not win.
The real question is the number of goals and whether both sides will score or not. The hosts have not managed to keep a clean sheet since the first match of the season. On the other hand, Sollentuna count two matches where they did not concede. It is quite indicative that it will be both a BTTS match and one where more than 3 goals will be scored.
Assyriska vs Sollentuna is a rather easy one
It would be pointless to check the preliminary prices for this encounter. They will change in the 7 days that we have at our disposal before we talk again during the update. At that time, we will also bring you the latest news on the circumstances for this one.
Update
In the match they owed, Assyriska travelled for an away match to Karlstad and managed to get a 2-2 draw. They are still in 5th, however, the point difference to Sollentuna is now 7. The distance to the top is 12 points. The visitors are still in the safe zone above relegation but they do not have many chances left to hold that fact until the end.
Assyriska vs Sollentuna is a matter of how many times the ball will hit the net
The odds for the outcome of the match are quite low. It appears that the certainty for the win of the home side exceeds 90%. In fact, the probability that they will win after scoring 3 goals or more is 60%. However, the chance that they will also concede goes to a significant 1 in 5. That’s a deduction that is not only based on the recent performances, but is also a result of the head-to-head history between the two. Only one match out of 5 ended in a 0-0 draw. All others show 3 goals or more.
Unfortunately, there is only one market of interest for decent profit available for this encounter. The chance of over 3.5 goals is 55,5% and justifies the average odds of @1.80 that are offered. It’s a bit of a risk, but sometimes those need to be taken when the situation calls for. This is when you should always remember not to bite more than you can chew and keep the bankroll when you register for an account at the best betting platform, in check.