Let’s do a first on a championship that we have never ventured before. We will travel to Wales and the confrontation between Bala Town and Cardiff Metropolitan United on Saturday Sep 07 at 13:30 GMT at the Maes Tegid field. While, it’s still early, we have two equal sides currently behind the league leaders Penybont only on goal differential.
Bala Town vs Cardiff Met – 2nd vs 3rd
The confrontation we are discussing about is for the 6th round, with both sides having to play the matches of the 5th round this weekend. The home side face the league leaders while the visitors travel to the home pitch of Caernarfon. Both sides have the same record to show for the first 4 rounds. 2 wins and 2 draws. Their only difference is the 8 vs 3 on the goals scored and conceded for the away team, against the 5 vs 1 record of the hosts.
Interestingly, we have quite opposite results for the two sides. Bala Town have won both home games with 2-0 and drew on their away matches at 0-0 and 1-1. On the other hand, Cardiff Met have won both their away confrontations while drawing at home with the same scores as the hosts.
Only the 1X2 market makes sense
In summary:
A) The home side have not been defeated and have not even conceded a goal at home
B) The away side have not been defeated and have scored plenty far from their home turf
Under these terms it should not come as a surprise to see the hosts at a price of @2.646 and the visitors at @2.881. Both for the win. The tie is given @3.058 and it is a quite possible result. Odds for other markets like over/under or BTTS are below @1.50 and therefore not worth it. All things considered, it seems like two teams shadow copying themselves, or to put it simply, two twin brothers fighting each other.
Bala Town vs Cardiff Met – wait for the update
On this one we will need to hold back our recommendation and wait for the developments within the next week or so that we will bring you the update. There are too many variables to change, starting with the results of the fixtures in between, possible sent-offs and injuries, even the weather conditions.
Update
In what was a more or less expected result, Bala Town lost to league leaders Penybont by 2-1. On the other hand Cardiff Met prevailed over Caernarfon by the same score. What has radically changed is their positions on the board. Now, the visitors are 2nd and the hosts 4th. Which means that the home team has two things to handle:
A) They are under pressure to win this one
B) They have the incentive of the second spot on the table overtaking their rivals.
i.e. both a motive and a drawback.
Choosing odds for Bala Town vs Cardiff Met
In a move that really doesn’t add up, the win for Bala Town is now given at @ 1.833, the visitors get @4.234 and the draw @3.498. The bookmakers must think that the motivation will be stronger than the drawback and the hosts will win. Prices for other markets are not as interesting or as ludicrous as the 1X2 market.
While we do not like the offer, we also believe that one way or the other Bala Town will emerge victorious on this one. Therefore, we will also go with the @1.833 for their win. Now that you have our suggestion, if you did not follow our advice on the preview, please do it now and go open an account at the best betting platform and take advantage of the proposition.