This is an early relegation 6-pointers. both teams should be cautious in this game as they won’t want to drop 3 points to the opponent while getting 3 points here is far from a must with 6 rounds remaining after the game.
Both teams are relatively low scoring compared to the league average, with the total number of goals per game ranking 14th and 15th out of 18 teams (around 2.6; similar expected goals total). Mainz should be the slightly better team base on recent form, but with the Home Advantage of Koln, an even game is expected here. So the expected total goals would be even lower for a Draw no Bet game.
There are no significant injuries and suspensions. Overall, it is a good value to back the Under 2.25 @2.010.
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